Name: Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B
End: 2026-03-23T01:45:00.000Z

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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B | PredictPedia

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13 markets tracked

Game 2: Any Player Rampage?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	52%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	51%
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	51%
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	51%
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	51%
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	51%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	51%
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	51%
Game 1: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	50%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B	Poly	50%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner	Poly	50%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner	Poly	46%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, May 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 23, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and Virtus.pro in the ESL One Birmingham Group B, initially scheduled for March 22 at 3:45PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Virtus.pro.

This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win the match against Nigma Galaxy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market wi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and Virtus.pro in the ESL One Birmingham Group B, initially scheduled for March 22 at 3:45PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Virtus.pro.

This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virt"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $16
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 105.49)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Nigma Galaxy: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Virtus.pro: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Nigma Galaxy: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Virtus.pro: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 22, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Nigma Galaxy: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [Virtus.pro: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 22, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B

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Game 2: Any Player Rampage?

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Events (1)

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B

Markets (13)

Game 2: Any Player Rampage?

Game 2: Any Player Rampage?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

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Game 2: Any Player Rampage?

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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B

Game 2: Any Player Rampage?

Game 2: Any Player Rampage?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

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