Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina: Game Spread

Total Volume

$9.36K

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Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina: Game Spread

Vol

$9.36K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $9.36K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.36K

100%

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3 markets tracked

Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 2.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 2.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?	Kalshi	79%
Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 5.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?	Kalshi	49%
Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 8.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?	Kalshi	15%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

79%

Top Probability

$9.36K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina (Oct 12) If the game differential in favor of Daniil Medvedev across the full match is above X games in the Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walk

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina: Game Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina (Oct 12)

If the game differential in favor of Daniil Medvedev across the full match is above X games in the Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walk

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the game differential in favor of Daniil Medvedev across the full match is above 8.5 games in the Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Daniil Medvedev"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 8.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 5.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $9.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 2.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $33
  DATA: [Yes: 79.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina: Game Spread

Volume$9.36K

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KALSHI

Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 2.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 79.0¢No 21.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 2.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?

If the game differential in favor of Daniil Medvedev across the full match is above 2.5 games in the Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Daniil Medvedev

KALSHI

Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 5.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 5.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?

If the game differential in favor of Daniil Medvedev across the full match is above 5.5 games in the Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Daniil Medvedev

KALSHI

Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 8.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 8.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?

If the game differential in favor of Daniil Medvedev across the full match is above 8.5 games in the Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Daniil Medvedev

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48¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/O10ssl" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina: Game Spread"></iframe>

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Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina: Game Spread

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Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 2.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?

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Events (1)

Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina: Game Spread

Markets (3)

Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 2.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?

Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 2.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?

Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 5.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?

Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 5.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?

Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 8.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?

Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 8.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?

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Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 2.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?

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Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina: Game Spread

Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 2.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?

Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 2.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?

Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 5.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?

Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 5.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?

Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 8.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?

Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 8.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina?

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