This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick

Name: 2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick
End: 2026-06-27T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.26M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick

Vol

$1.26M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.26M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.26M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

50 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Alberts Smits be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(50)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Alberts Smits be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	83%
Will Xavier Villeneuve be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	10%
Will Maddox Dagenais be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	2%
Will Oliver Suvanto be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	1%
Will Simas Ignatavicius be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	1%
Will Pierce Mbuyi be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	1%
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Adam Valentini be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Malte Gustafsson be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Giorgos Pantelas be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Oscar Holmertz be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Keaton Verhoeff be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Tynan Lawrence be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Chase Reid be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Carson Carels be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Viggo Björck be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Ryan Lin be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Daxon Rudolph be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Elton Hermansson be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Oscar Hemming be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will William Hakansson be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Ethan Belchetz be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Adam Novotný be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Mathis Preston be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Juho Piiparinen be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will JP Hurlbert be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Marcus Nordmark be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Yegor Shilov be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Ilya Morozov be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Nikita Klepov be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Ryan Roobroeck be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Brooks Rogowski be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Tomas Chrenko be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Jack Hextall be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Alexander Command be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Niklas Aaram-Olsen be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Nikita Shcherbakov be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Wyatt Cullen be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Alessandro Di Iorio be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Jaxon Cover be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Adam Goljer be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Beckham Edwards be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Liam Ruck be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Victor Plante be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Adam Nemec be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Luke Schairer be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Casey Mutryn be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%
Will Mikey Berchild be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

83%

Top Probability

$1.26M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026. If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion. If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, October 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 27, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026. 

If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion.

If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026. 

If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion.

If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.26M
* **Total Liquidity:** $46.1K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 27.28)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Alberts Smits be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $12.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Xavier Villeneuve be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Oliver Suvanto be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $34.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Malte Gustafsson be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $454.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Maddox Dagenais be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Adam Valentini be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $4.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Oscar Holmertz be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $4.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $4.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $463.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Keaton Verhoeff be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Tynan Lawrence be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Chase Reid be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Carson Carels be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Ethan Belchetz be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Viggo Björck be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Ryan Lin be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Daxon Rudolph be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Adam Novotný be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Elton Hermansson be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $6.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Mathis Preston be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Juho Piiparinen be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will JP Hurlbert be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Marcus Nordmark be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Oscar Hemming be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Yegor Shilov be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Ilya Morozov be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will William Hakansson be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Nikita Klepov be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Pierce Mbuyi be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $141.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Ryan Roobroeck be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Brooks Rogowski be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Tomas Chrenko be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Jack Hextall be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Alexander Command be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will Niklas Aaram-Olsen be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will Nikita Shcherbakov be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will Wyatt Cullen be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will Alessandro Di Iorio be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will Giorgos Pantelas be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $4.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will Jaxon Cover be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 42. Will Adam Goljer be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 43. Will Beckham Edwards be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 44. Will Simas Ignatavicius be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $27.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 45. Will Liam Ruck be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 46. Will Victor Plante be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 47. Will Adam Nemec be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 48. Will Luke Schairer be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $32.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 49. Will Casey Mutryn be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 50. Will Mikey Berchild be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports