Name: Fluminense FC vs. Grêmio FBPA
End: 2026-01-28T22:30:00.000Z

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Fluminense FC vs. Grêmio FBPA | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-01-28?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-01-28?	Poly	55%
Will Fluminense FC vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?	Poly	29%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-01-28?	Poly	22%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Fluminense FC vs. Grêmio FBPA
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 28, 2026 (13 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Wednesday, January 28, 2026 between Fluminense FC and Grêmio FBPA.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 28, 2026
If Fluminense FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $60
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-01-28?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $45
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Fluminense FC vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-01-28?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

12d 10h remaining

Jan 28, 2026 10:30 PM

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Average Yes Price

35¢

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Fluminense FC vs. Grêmio FBPA

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Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-01-28?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Fluminense FC vs. Grêmio FBPA

Markets (3)

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-01-28?

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-01-28?

Will Fluminense FC vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?

Will Fluminense FC vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-01-28?

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-01-28?

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Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-01-28?

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Fluminense FC vs. Grêmio FBPA

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-01-28?

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-01-28?

Will Fluminense FC vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?

Will Fluminense FC vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-01-28?

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-01-28?

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