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1 market tracked

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| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
![]() | Poly | 39% |
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This event is for the CBB game between Portland Pilots and Loyola Marymount Lions on January 17 at 9:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction markets are pricing in a clear favorite for this West Coast Conference matchup. The Loyola Marymount Lions contract is trading at approximately 61% on Polymarket, implying the market assigns them a solid likelihood of victory. Conversely, the Portland Pilots contract trades at 39%, indicating they are seen as a significant underdog. A 61% chance suggests the market views a Lions win as the more probable outcome, but it is far from a guaranteed result, leaving meaningful room for an upset.
The primary factor is the substantial performance gap between these teams this season. Loyola Marymount entered conference play with a stronger non-conference record and possesses a more efficient offense, according to key analytics. Historically, the Lions have also dominated this head-to-head series in recent years, winning the majority of their last several meetings, which influences market sentiment. Furthermore, Portland has struggled defensively, particularly on the road, and the market is pricing in those vulnerabilities against LMU's scoring ability.
The most immediate catalyst is any last-minute news regarding player availability, such as a key injury or illness within either squad, especially for the favored Lions. A significant shift in the betting line from traditional sportsbooks closer to game time would also likely cause arbitrageurs to move prediction market prices. While the consensus is strong, Portland's potential to outperform rests on an exceptionally hot shooting night from three-point range, a scenario that could see the Pilots' contract price rise sharply if early game action suggests it's possible.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
$14.40
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This prediction market topic concerns the outcome of a men's college basketball game between the Portland Pilots and the Loyola Marymount Lions, scheduled for January 17 at 9:00 PM Eastern Time. The event is part of the West Coast Conference (WCC) regular season, a critical period where conference standings are solidified ahead of postseason tournaments. The market allows participants to wager on which team will win the contest, with specific rules governing postponements and cancellations. The Pilots and Lions are both members of the WCC, a Division I athletic conference known for its competitive basketball landscape that includes perennial powerhouses like Gonzaga and Saint Mary's. This particular matchup is significant as both teams typically vie for positioning in the middle of the conference standings, making head-to-head results crucial for seeding in the WCC Tournament, which determines the conference's automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. Interest in this market stems from college basketball enthusiasts, sports bettors, and alumni of the respective universities who follow team performance closely. The game's timing in mid-January places it during the heart of conference play, where every win carries amplified importance for postseason aspirations. The market's structure, which accounts for potential schedule disruptions, reflects the practical realities of the modern college sports calendar.
The basketball rivalry between Portland and Loyola Marymount dates back to their shared history in the West Coast Conference. Portland joined the WCC in 1976, while Loyola Marymount became a member in 1955. The series has been played annually as part of the conference schedule for decades. Historically, the series has been competitive, with Portland holding a slight edge in the all-time win count entering the 2023-24 season. A notable historical context is Loyola Marymount's national prominence in the late 1980s and early 1990s under coach Paul Westhead, who implemented a revolutionary run-and-gun offense. That era, which included the tragic death of star Hank Gathers in 1990, placed LMU basketball in the national spotlight. Portland, meanwhile, has historically been a program seeking consistent success in a conference dominated by Gonzaga. The modern context of the rivalry is defined by both programs operating in the shadow of the conference's top tier, making their direct matchups critical for achieving winning records and improving WCC Tournament seeding. Recent seasons have seen both teams make incremental progress, with each aiming to break into the upper half of the conference standings.
Beyond the immediate game result, this matchup has implications for the postseason trajectories of both programs. A win contributes directly to conference standing, which determines seeding for the WCC Tournament in Las Vegas. Higher seeds provide more favorable paths and are often essential for teams hoping to make a deep run and potentially secure an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament or an invitation to the NIT. For the athletes and coaching staffs, these games are evaluations of season-long development and can influence recruiting narratives and program momentum. For the universities, successful basketball seasons can enhance national visibility, alumni engagement, and student applications. The prediction market itself reflects the growing intersection of sports analytics, fan engagement, and speculative interest in collegiate athletics, representing a microcosm of the broader sports betting economy that has expanded following changes in U.S. federal law.
As of mid-January 2024, both teams are engaged in the West Coast Conference schedule. Their records and performances in preceding non-conference and early conference games will have established their form heading into this matchup. Specific injury reports, recent winning or losing streaks, and individual player performances in the games immediately prior to January 17 will be the most timely factors influencing the market. Coaching strategies and adjustments based on recent film study will also be in play. The latest developments would include any official announcements regarding player availability for the game from either team's sports information department.
The game is scheduled to be played at the Gersten Pavilion in Los Angeles, California, which is the home court of the Loyola Marymount Lions. Tip-off is set for 9:00 PM Eastern Time.
The television broadcast rights for WCC games are typically held by ESPN networks, CBS Sports Network, or the conference's streaming platform, ESPN+. The specific channel for this game will be announced closer to the date.
Point spreads and moneylines are set by sportsbooks and will fluctuate based on team performance, injuries, and betting action leading up to the game. Historically, home-court advantage at Gersten Pavilion is a factor that oddsmakers consider.
According to the prediction market rules, if the game is postponed, the market will remain open and active until the game is completed at its rescheduled date and time. The outcome will then be settled based on the final result.
The recent head-to-head record can be checked via official NCAA or WCC statistics pages. This data shows which team has had recent success in the rivalry and can inform expectations for the upcoming game.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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