Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Bering Sea snow crab catch limit for 2026-27

Total Volume

$12.57K

Events

Markets

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Bering Sea snow crab catch limit for 2026-27

Vol

$12.57K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $12.57K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $12.57K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

2026/27 snow crab TAC: 1-6,999,999 lb?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
2026/27 snow crab TAC: 1-6,999,999 lb?	Kalshi	100%
2026/27 Bering Sea snow crab fishery closed?	Kalshi	1%
2026/27 snow crab TAC: 7 million-10,999,999 lb?	Kalshi	1%
2026/27 snow crab TAC: 11 million-15,999,999 lb?	Kalshi	1%
2026/27 snow crab TAC: at least 23 million lb?	Kalshi	1%
2026/27 snow crab TAC: 16 million-22,999,999 lb?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$12.57K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026/27 season If the total allowable catch set by ADF&G for the 2026/27 Bering Sea District snow crab fishery is between X million and Y pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. The settling figure is the amount labeled “Total” in ADF&G’s official annual harvest specifications for the Bering Sea District snow crab fishery. This is the combined Individual Fishing Quota, IFQ, and Community Development Quota, CDQ, amount and includes any additional allocation that ADF&G incorporates into the Tota

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bering Sea snow crab catch limit for 2026-27
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026/27 season

If the total allowable catch set by ADF&G for the 2026/27 Bering Sea District snow crab fishery is between X million and Y pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. The settling figure is the amount labeled “Total” in ADF&G’s official annual harvest specifications for the Bering Sea District snow crab fishery. This is the combined Individual Fishing Quota, IFQ, and Community Development Quota, CDQ, amount and includes any additional allocation that ADF&G incorporates into the Tota

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the total allowable catch set by ADF&G for the 2026/27 Bering Sea District snow crab fishery is exactly None, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settling figure is the amount labeled “Total” in ADF&G’s official annual harvest specifications for the Bering Sea District snow crab"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $12.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. 2026/27 Bering Sea snow crab fishery closed?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. 2026/27 snow crab TAC: 7 million-10,999,999 lb?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. 2026/27 snow crab TAC: 1-6,999,999 lb?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $4.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. 2026/27 snow crab TAC: 16 million-22,999,999 lb?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. 2026/27 snow crab TAC: 11 million-15,999,999 lb?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. 2026/27 snow crab TAC: at least 23 million lb?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $103
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Bering Sea snow crab catch limit for 2026-27

Volume$12.57K

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

2026/27 snow crab TAC: 1-6,999,999 lb?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

2026/27 snow crab TAC: 1-6,999,999 lb?

If the total allowable catch set by ADF&G for the 2026/27 Bering Sea District snow crab fishery is between 1 and 6,999,999 pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settling figure is the amount labeled “Total” in ADF&G’s official annual harvest specifications for the Bering Sea

KALSHI

2026/27 Bering Sea snow crab fishery closed?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

2026/27 Bering Sea snow crab fishery closed?

If the total allowable catch set by ADF&G for the 2026/27 Bering Sea District snow crab fishery is exactly None, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settling figure is the amount labeled “Total” in ADF&G’s official annual harvest specifications for the Bering Sea District snow crab

KALSHI

2026/27 snow crab TAC: 7 million-10,999,999 lb?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

2026/27 snow crab TAC: 7 million-10,999,999 lb?

If the total allowable catch set by ADF&G for the 2026/27 Bering Sea District snow crab fishery is between 7 million and 10,999,999 pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settling figure is the amount labeled “Total” in ADF&G’s official annual harvest specifications for the Be

KALSHI

2026/27 snow crab TAC: 11 million-15,999,999 lb?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

2026/27 snow crab TAC: 11 million-15,999,999 lb?

If the total allowable catch set by ADF&G for the 2026/27 Bering Sea District snow crab fishery is between 11 million and 15,999,999 pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settling figure is the amount labeled “Total” in ADF&G’s official annual harvest specifications for the B

KALSHI

2026/27 snow crab TAC: at least 23 million lb?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

2026/27 snow crab TAC: at least 23 million lb?

If the total allowable catch set by ADF&G for the 2026/27 Bering Sea District snow crab fishery is at least 23 million pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settling figure is the amount labeled “Total” in ADF&G’s official annual harvest specifications for the Bering Sea Dist

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Bering Sea snow crab catch limit for 2026-27

Bering Sea snow crab catch limit for 2026-27

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2026/27 snow crab TAC: 1-6,999,999 lb?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Bering Sea snow crab catch limit for 2026-27

Markets (6)

2026/27 snow crab TAC: 1-6,999,999 lb?

2026/27 snow crab TAC: 1-6,999,999 lb?

2026/27 Bering Sea snow crab fishery closed?

2026/27 Bering Sea snow crab fishery closed?

2026/27 snow crab TAC: 7 million-10,999,999 lb?

2026/27 snow crab TAC: 7 million-10,999,999 lb?

2026/27 snow crab TAC: 11 million-15,999,999 lb?

2026/27 snow crab TAC: 11 million-15,999,999 lb?

2026/27 snow crab TAC: at least 23 million lb?

2026/27 snow crab TAC: at least 23 million lb?

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2026/27 snow crab TAC: 1-6,999,999 lb?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Bering Sea snow crab catch limit for 2026-27

2026/27 snow crab TAC: 1-6,999,999 lb?

2026/27 snow crab TAC: 1-6,999,999 lb?

2026/27 Bering Sea snow crab fishery closed?

2026/27 Bering Sea snow crab fishery closed?

2026/27 snow crab TAC: 7 million-10,999,999 lb?

2026/27 snow crab TAC: 7 million-10,999,999 lb?

2026/27 snow crab TAC: 11 million-15,999,999 lb?

2026/27 snow crab TAC: 11 million-15,999,999 lb?

2026/27 snow crab TAC: at least 23 million lb?

2026/27 snow crab TAC: at least 23 million lb?

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Discussion

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