Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Ljubljana mayoral election winner?

Total Volume

$82.32K

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Ljubljana mayoral election winner?

Vol

$82.32K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $82.32K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $82.32K

100%

Kalshi leads

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9 markets tracked

Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Kalshi	82%
Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Kalshi	10%
Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Kalshi	5%
Will Mihael Jarc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Jasmin Feratović win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Gregor Novak win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Apolonija Simon win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Aleksandar Repić win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Aleš Primc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

82%

Top Probability

$82.32K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

November 15, 2026 If X wins the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Ljubljana mayoral election winner?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** November 15, 2026

If X wins the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Zoran Janković wins the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $82.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2027): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 81.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Mihael Jarc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2027): Vol $19.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2027): Vol $696
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Jasmin Feratović win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2027): Vol $9.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Gregor Novak win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2027): Vol $12.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Apolonija Simon win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2027): Vol $10.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2027): Vol $892
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Aleksandar Repić win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2027): Vol $15.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Aleš Primc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2027): Vol $11.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Ljubljana mayoral election winner?

Volume$82.32K

Markets9

9 of 9

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KALSHI

Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 81.5¢No 18.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

If Zoran Janković wins the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

If Luka Mesec wins the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

If Anton Rop wins the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Mihael Jarc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Mihael Jarc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

If Mihael Jarc wins the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Jasmin Feratović win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jasmin Feratović win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

If Jasmin Feratović wins the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

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11¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/O7B8hM" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Ljubljana mayoral election winner?"></iframe>

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Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Ljubljana mayoral election winner?

Markets (9)

Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Will Mihael Jarc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Will Mihael Jarc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Will Jasmin Feratović win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Will Jasmin Feratović win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

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Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Ljubljana mayoral election winner?

Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Will Mihael Jarc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Will Mihael Jarc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Will Jasmin Feratović win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Will Jasmin Feratović win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

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