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What will Powell say during January Press Conference? | PredictPedia

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETMentions

What will Powell say during January Press Conference?

Name: What will Powell say during January Press Conference?
End: 2026-01-28T00:00:00.000Z

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$935.51K

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What will Powell say during January Press Conference?

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Polymarket

markets · $935.51K

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markets · $0.00

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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Volume DistributionTotal: $935.51K

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1 market tracked

Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?

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Market	Platform	Price
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Powell say during January Press Conference?
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 28, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 28, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word w

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 28, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the F"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $151.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $21.3K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 7.12)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 5. Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $151.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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What will Powell say during January Press Conference?

What will Powell say during January Press Conference?

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Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?

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