Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election?

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$405.76

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Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election?

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$405.76

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Kalshi

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markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $405.76

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $405.76

100%

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6 markets tracked

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse no one in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse no one in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?	Kalshi	45%
Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?	Kalshi	30%
Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Shawn Fain in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?	Kalshi	7%
Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Rashida Tlaib in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?	Kalshi	7%
Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Ro Khanna in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?	Kalshi	7%
Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Bernie Sanders in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

45%

Top Probability

$405.76

Volume

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About This Event

Before Mar 1, 2028 If the Democratic Socialists of America, DSA, national organization publicly endorses X 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of support for the candidate's election in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries, made after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2028. The statement must be public, not private communications, and must

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Mar 1, 2028

If the Democratic Socialists of America, DSA, national organization publicly endorses X 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of support for the candidate's election in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries, made after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2028. The statement must be public, not private communications, and must

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization publicly endorses Shawn Fain in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of suppo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $406
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Shawn Fain in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Rashida Tlaib in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Ro Khanna in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse no one in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Bernie Sanders in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 1, 2028): Vol $406
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election?

Volume$405.76

Markets6

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KALSHI

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse no one in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 45.5¢No 54.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse no one in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

If the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization publicly endorses no one in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of support f

KALSHI

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

If the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization publicly endorses Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative stat

KALSHI

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Shawn Fain in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Shawn Fain in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

If the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization publicly endorses Shawn Fain in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of suppo

KALSHI

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Rashida Tlaib in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Rashida Tlaib in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

If the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization publicly endorses Rashida Tlaib in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of su

KALSHI

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Ro Khanna in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Ro Khanna in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

If the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization publicly endorses Ro Khanna in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of suppor

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16¢

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Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election?

Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election?

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Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse no one in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

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Events (1)

Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election?

Markets (6)

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse no one in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse no one in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Shawn Fain in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Shawn Fain in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Rashida Tlaib in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Rashida Tlaib in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Ro Khanna in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Ro Khanna in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

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Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse no one in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election?

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse no one in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse no one in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Shawn Fain in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Shawn Fain in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Rashida Tlaib in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Rashida Tlaib in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Ro Khanna in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Ro Khanna in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028?

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