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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Name: Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?
End: 2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$13.12K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Vol

$13.12K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $13.12K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $13.12K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Will Pamela Bondi be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Pamela Bondi be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?	Poly	49%
Will Marco Rubio be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?	Poly	42%
Will Peter Hegseth be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?	Poly	40%
Will Abigail Jackson be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?	Poly	32%
Will Liz Huston be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?	Poly	26%
Will JD Vance be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?	Poly	19%
Will Scott Bessent be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?	Poly	18%
Will Donald Trump be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?	Poly	18%
Will Anna Kelly be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?	Poly	13%
Will Stephen Miller be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?	Poly	12%
Will Linda McMahon be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?	Poly	3%
Will Brooke Rollins be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?	Poly	2%
Will Taylor Rogers be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?	Poly	2%
Will Tom Homan be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?	Poly	1%
Will Erika Kirk be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?	Poly	0%
Will Howard Lutnick be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?	Poly	0%
Will Susie Wiles be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

49%

Top Probability

$13.12K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginn

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginn

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excep"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $13.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.9K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.49)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Marco Rubio be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 41.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.3% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Stephen Miller be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Scott Bessent be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $220
  DATA: [Yes: 17.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.3% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Howard Lutnick be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $272
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Peter Hegseth be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $325
  DATA: [Yes: 40.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Brooke Rollins be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $220
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Linda McMahon be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Susie Wiles be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $252
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Erika Kirk be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $230
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Donald Trump be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $538
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Anna Kelly be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $251
  DATA: [Yes: 12.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.4% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Taylor Rogers be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $804
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Pamela Bondi be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $328
  DATA: [Yes: 49.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.7% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Liz Huston be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $238
  DATA: [Yes: 26.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.8% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will JD Vance be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.9% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Abigail Jackson be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $296
  DATA: [Yes: 31.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.2% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Tom Homan be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $234
  DATA: [Yes: 1.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics