Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs

Name: LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs
End: 2026-10-13T05:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$5.92K

Events

Markets

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LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs

Vol

$5.92K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $5.92K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.92K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

39 markets tracked

Games Total: Over/Under 3.5

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(39)

Market	Platform	Price
Games Total: Over/Under 3.5	Poly	72%
Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	53%
Game 5: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	52%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	51%
LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised - Game 4 Winner	Poly	50%
Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 5: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised - Game 3 Winner	Poly	46%
LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner	Poly	46%
LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner	Poly	44%
LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs	Poly	40%
Games Total: Over/Under 4.5	Poly	34%
Game Handicap: DSG (-2.5) vs Maryville University (+2.5)	Poly	31%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	25%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	25%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	25%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

72%

Top Probability

$5.92K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Maryville University and Disguised in the LCS Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Maryville University" if Maryville University win the match against Disguised. This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win the match against Maryville University. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 13, 2026 (1 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Maryville University and Disguised in the LCS Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Maryville University" if Maryville University win the match against Disguised.

This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win the match against Maryville University.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Maryville University and Disguised in the LCS Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Maryville University" if Maryville University win Game 1 against Disguised.

This market wil"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $22.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.27)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Maryville University: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [Disguised: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $39
  DATA: [Maryville University: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [Disguised: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised - Game 3 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Maryville University: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [Disguised: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised - Game 4 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Maryville University: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Disguised: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Maryville University: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [Disguised: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Games Total: Over/Under 3.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 72.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 28.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Games Total: Over/Under 4.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Disguised: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Maryville University: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game Handicap: DSG (-2.5) vs Maryville University (+2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Disguised: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [Maryville University: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Even: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Game 4: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 36. Game 5: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 38. Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 39. Game 5: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [Even: 48.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs

Volume$5.92K

Markets39

39 of 39

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POLYMARKET

Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 5. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 5. This marke

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market wi

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 1. In League of Legends, each team has three inhibitors (one in each lane), located behind the inner turrets. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Maryville University and Disguised each destroy at least o

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market

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Oct 13, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

47¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/OVJHzK" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs"></iframe>

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LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs

LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Games Total: Over/Under 3.5

AI Analysis

About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs

Markets (39)

Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Games Total: Over/Under 3.5

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs

Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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