$170.90
1
9
$170.90
1
9
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
More markets for the EFL Championship game, scheduled for April 3 at 10:00 AM ET.
Prediction markets give Sheffield United and Swansea City a roughly 3 in 4 chance of combining for more than 1.5 total goals in their April 3rd match. This means traders collectively believe it is significantly more likely than not that we will see at least two goals scored in the game. A 74% probability shows strong, but not absolute, confidence in a higher-scoring outcome.
Two main factors are likely driving this prediction. First, the teams’ recent performances suggest open, attacking games. Sheffield United, fighting for automatic promotion to the Premier League, has one of the league’s best offenses. Swansea, while mid-table, has shown they can score but also concede goals, particularly away from home. Their match earlier this season ended in a 3-0 win for Sheffield United.
Second, the stakes of the match matter. Sheffield United is under pressure to win to keep pace with rivals at the top of the table. This often leads to proactive, attacking play, especially at home. Swansea has little left to play for this season, which can sometimes make a team less defensively organized or more willing to take risks, potentially leading to goals at both ends.
The main event is the match itself on April 3rd. However, team news in the days leading up to the game could shift these odds. Key injuries to attacking players for either side, especially Sheffield United’s top scorers, might make traders less confident in a high-scoring affair. Conversely, news of defensive absences could solidify the current forecast.
Prediction markets on football matches are generally quite accurate at aggregating collective wisdom, often matching or exceeding the accuracy of expert pundits. For simple outcomes like total goals, the wisdom of the crowd tends to be reliable. The main limitation here is the relatively small amount of money wagered on this specific, niche market. This means the odds could be more sensitive to new information or a few large bets, compared to a major market with more participants.
Prediction markets on Polymarket price a 74% probability that the EFL Championship match between Sheffield United and Swansea City will feature over 1.5 total goals. This high probability indicates the market strongly expects at least two goals in the game. However, with only $0K in volume across nine related markets, this is a speculative, illiquid market. The lack of trading activity means the current price is not a reliable consensus and could shift dramatically with minimal new money.
The high probability for over 1.5 goals reflects the attacking profiles of both clubs and their recent form. Sheffield United, recently relegated from the Premier League, typically plays an aggressive style aimed at controlling possession and creating chances. Swansea City is known for a possession-based attacking philosophy under their current management. Historical matchups in the Championship between teams with these tactical approaches often produce open games. Recent fixtures for both sides show a pattern of matches exceeding the 1.5 goal line, which the thin market appears to be extrapolating.
The primary risk to the current market pricing is the low liquidity, which makes the odds unstable. A single moderate-sized bet could move the probability significantly. Fundamentally, team news ahead of the April 3rd kickoff will be critical. Any key attacking player being ruled out for either side through injury or suspension would directly lower the expected goal output. Defensive tactical shifts, such as one manager opting for a more conservative approach to secure a point, could also push the game under the total. The market will likely remain volatile until closer to the match date when lineups are confirmed and trading volume potentially increases.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market topic focuses on additional betting markets for the English Football League Championship match between Sheffield United and Swansea City, scheduled for April 3 at 10:00 AM Eastern Time. While standard match result markets (win, lose, draw) are widely available, 'more markets' refers to specialized proposition bets. These can include specific player performance metrics, exact scorelines, timing of goals, and various in-game events. The match is part of the EFL Championship, the second tier of English football, where both clubs are competing for promotion to the Premier League or to avoid relegation. Prediction markets allow participants to trade contracts based on the likelihood of these specific outcomes, creating a financial instrument that reflects collective intelligence about the event. The interest in these markets extends beyond traditional sports betting, attracting analysts and fans who use them to gauge expert sentiment on granular aspects of the game. Recent team form, injury reports, and tactical setups directly influence the pricing of these specialized contracts. For instance, a key striker's absence would shift odds on 'first goalscorer' markets, while a team known for strong defense might see higher prices for 'clean sheet' outcomes. The 10:00 AM ET kickoff time also makes this match accessible to a North American betting audience, potentially increasing market volume. The broader context includes Sheffield United's push for an immediate return to the Premier League after relegation in 2023, contrasted with Swansea's mid-table ambitions under a relatively new manager.
The football rivalry between Sheffield United and Swansea City is not among England's most historic, but their encounters have gained significance in the 21st century as both clubs have frequently competed in the same divisions. Their first competitive meeting was in the 1925 FA Cup, which Sheffield United won. In the modern era, a notable period of contention occurred between 2007 and 2011 when both teams were in League One and the Championship, battling for promotion. The 2009 League One playoff semi-final was a key event. Swansea won 2-1 on aggregate over two legs, advancing to the final at Wembley and eventually securing promotion to the Championship. This playoff defeat was a significant setback for Sheffield United at the time. More recently, both clubs have experienced Premier League football. Sheffield United had a two-season stint from 2019 to 2021 and again in 2023 before relegation. Swansea enjoyed seven consecutive Premier League seasons from 2011 to 2018. Their Championship meetings since Swansea's relegation have often been closely contested. In the 2022-23 season, each team won their home fixture 3-0, demonstrating home advantage. This historical pattern of home dominance can inform markets like 'win to nil' or 'handicap' bets for the upcoming fixture at Bramall Lane, Sheffield United's home ground.
Beyond the immediate sporting contest, prediction markets for such matches represent a growing intersection of sports analytics, gambling, and financial trading. These markets aggregate dispersed information from thousands of participants, potentially creating more efficient odds than those set by traditional bookmakers alone. This efficiency is studied by economists as a real-world example of the 'wisdom of crowds'. For the clubs and the league, active betting markets increase fan engagement and media coverage, which translates to higher broadcast ratings and commercial revenue. A match with many prop bets discussed online generates more social media traffic and fan interaction. For the local economies of Sheffield and Swansea, a high-stakes match can boost hospitality, with pubs, restaurants, and hotels seeing increased business on matchday. The outcome also has serious financial consequences for the clubs. Promotion to the Premier League is estimated to be worth at least £170 million in increased revenue over three seasons, according to Deloitte. Even finishing a few places higher in the Championship table results in larger merit payments from the league's television deal. Therefore, the result of this single game could influence multi-million pound decisions regarding player contracts and infrastructure investments for the following season.
As of late March 2024, Sheffield United sits second in the EFL Championship table, holding an automatic promotion spot but under pressure from third-place Leeds United. A win in this game is critical to maintain that position. Swansea City is in 15th place, effectively safe from relegation but with only mathematical hopes of reaching the playoffs. Sheffield United will be without several key players due to injury, including defenders Chris Basham and John Egan, and midfielder Tom Davies. Swansea's main injury concern is midfielder Joe Allen. Both teams are coming off a weekend of fixtures on March 29. Sheffield United drew 1-1 with relegation-threatened Sheffield Wednesday in a local derby, a disappointing result. Swansea City secured a 1-0 home victory against Cardiff City in the South Wales derby, providing a morale boost. The specific 'more markets' for this fixture are expected to be published by prediction market platforms and sportsbooks in the days immediately preceding the match.
The match kicks off at 3:00 PM British Summer Time (BST) on Wednesday, April 3, 2024. This is the local time for the game at Bramall Lane in Sheffield.
In the United Kingdom, the match is being broadcast live on Sky Sports Football. International viewers should check local listings for the EFL Championship broadcast partner in their region.
Common markets include first/last goalscorer, correct score, total corners, total goals over/under, both teams to score, half-time/full-time result, and player-specific bets like 'to be carded' or 'to score a header'.
The last meeting was on December 29, 2023, at Swansea's Liberty Stadium. Sheffield United won that match 3-0, with goals from James McAtee, Jack Robinson, and Jayden Bogle.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
9 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 74% |
| Poly | 54% |
| Poly | 53% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 51% |
| Poly | 30% |
| Poly | 28% |
| Poly | 15% |
| Poly | 9% |
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