$2.25K
1
8
$2.25K
1
8
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This market will resolve to "AG Super Play" if AG Super Play win against EDward Gaming in the named Honor of Kings match in the King Pro League Stage 1 Group 1, scheduled for January 17 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win against AG Super Play in the Honor of Kings match. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. Th
Prediction markets are pricing in a clear favorite for this King Pro League matchup. On Polymarket, AG Super Play shares are trading at 72¢, implying a 72% probability they defeat EDward Gaming (EDG). This price suggests the market views AG Super Play as a significant favorite, though not an overwhelming lock, with EDG still holding a credible 28% chance of an upset. Current trading volume is relatively thin at approximately $2,000, indicating lower liquidity and potential for price volatility.
The primary factor is recent competitive form. AG Super Play has established itself as a consistent top-tier contender in the league, often demonstrating superior macro strategy and late-game teamfighting. In contrast, EDward Gaming has shown inconsistency this season, with notable weaknesses in their early-game rotational play. Historical head-to-head records in recent splits also favor AG Super Play, who have won the majority of their last five Best-of-Five encounters. The market is likely weighing these performance trends heavily, discounting EDG's occasional high-ceiling performances due to their unreliability.
The most immediate catalyst is pre-match strategy and roster news. Any announcement of a key player substitution or role swap for either team, especially involving a star jungler or mid-laner, could shift probabilities. In-play dynamics during the match itself will also move prices on platforms allowing live trading. If EDG can secure a dominant first game in the BO5 series, their contract price would likely surge as the market reassesses their form on the day. Conversely, an uncharacteristically poor draft phase from AG Super Play could tighten the perceived skill gap. Given the thin liquidity, even modest new information or betting interest could cause a sharper price movement than typically seen in deeper markets.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market concerns a professional Honor of Kings esports match in the King Pro League (KPL), the premier competitive league for the mobile multiplayer online battle arena (MOBA) game developed by TiMi Studio Group and published by Tencent. The specific contest is a best-of-five (BO5) series between AG Super Play (AG) and EDward Gaming (EDG), scheduled for January 17 at 7:00 AM Eastern Time. This match is part of the Stage 1, Group 1 regular season of the 2024 KPL Spring Season. Honor of Kings, known domestically as Wangzhe Rongyao, is one of the world's highest-grossing and most popular mobile games, with its professional scene attracting massive viewership, particularly in China. The KPL operates on a system of seasonal stages and playoffs, with this early-season match serving as a critical indicator of team form and meta adaptation following the offseason. Interest stems from the historic rivalry between these two established organizations, their respective fan bases, and the implications for playoff seeding. The market resolves based solely on the match winner, with specific rules for postponement or cancellation.
The King Pro League was founded in 2016, establishing the first major professional league for Honor of Kings. AG Super Play, originally named Against All Authority, is one of the league's founding members and won the inaugural KPL Spring championship in 2017. They have remained a consistent playoff contender but have not secured a league title since 2019, creating a narrative of a storied organization seeking a return to glory. EDward Gaming, a multi-game esports giant, entered the KPL in 2018. While EDG's League of Legends division is internationally renowned, its HoK team has experienced fluctuating success, including a runner-up finish in the 2021 KPL Spring Playoffs. The head-to-head history between AG and EDG is competitive, with both teams trading significant victories over multiple seasons. Their matches are often characterized by aggressive, skirmish-heavy playstyles. The broader context includes the 2023 season, where AG finished 4th in the Summer Playoffs, while EDG failed to qualify for the postseason, making this 2024 opener a test of EDG's offseason improvements against AG's established core.
This match matters significantly within the ecosystem of mobile esports and the Chinese digital entertainment industry. A victory contributes directly to a team's standing in the KPL, influencing playoff qualification, seeding, and, ultimately, a share of the league's substantial prize pool and prestige. For the organizations, success translates to enhanced brand value, sponsorship appeal, and merchandise sales, fueling further investment in their rosters and facilities. For players, performance in high-profile matches like this can define careers, affect transfer market value, and solidify fan legacies. Beyond the immediate competitors, the match is a key data point for the global esports community analyzing the evolving Honor of Kings meta, team strategies, and regional strength. It also serves as premier content for streaming platforms like Huya and DouYu, driving advertising revenue and viewer engagement. The outcome influences fan communities, online discourse, and the narrative for the entire KPL Spring Season.
As of the market creation date, both teams have completed their offseason roster transactions and preseason preparations. The match is confirmed on the official KPL schedule for January 17, 2024, at 7:00 AM ET (8:00 PM local time in China). Teams are expected to be competing on the latest game patch, which will influence champion selections and strategic priorities. This is the first match for both organizations in the KPL Spring Stage 1 Group 1, making it a fresh start and an immediate test of their winter preparations. All player contracts are active, and no last-minute roster changes or player health issues have been officially reported that would affect the starting lineups.
The King Pro League is the top-level professional esports league for Honor of Kings (Wangzhe Rongyao). Operated by Tencent, it features franchised teams competing in seasonal splits, culminating in playoffs and championships. It is the most prestigious and watched Honor of Kings competition globally.
The match will be broadcast live on official KPL streaming partners, primarily on Chinese platforms like Huya, DouYu, and Bilibili. International viewers can often find official broadcasts or community co-streams on platforms such as YouTube, though availability may vary by region.
BO5 stands for 'Best of Five.' It means the two teams will play up to five individual games within the match. The first team to win three games wins the overall match. This format is common in playoff series and high-stakes regular-season matches as it tests depth and adaptation.
No, EDward Gaming's Honor of Kings division has not yet won a KPL championship. Their best finish was as runners-up in the 2021 KPL Spring Playoffs. This contrasts with their League of Legends team, which won the World Championship in 2021.
According to typical KPL and prediction market rules, if a match is postponed, the market or event remains open until the game is officially completed at a later date. The outcome is then determined based on that rescheduled match.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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8 markets tracked
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| Market | Platform | Price |
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| Poly | 72% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 51% |
| Poly | 50% |
| Poly | 49% |
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