Name: Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC
End: 2026-04-19T15:30:00.000Z

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Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?	Poly	55%
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Poly	26%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?	Poly	22%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 19, 2026 (3 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Sunday, April 19, 2026 between Manchester City FC and Arsenal FC.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 19, 2026
If Manchester City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up g"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $155.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.39M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.07)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $96.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $53.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

2d 3h remaining

Apr 19, 2026 3:30 PM

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Average Yes Price

34¢

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Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC

Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC

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Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC

Markets (3)

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?

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Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

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Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?

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