Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

Etsy Gross Merchandise Sales in Q3

Total Volume

$2.92K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Etsy Gross Merchandise Sales in Q3

Vol

$2.92K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.92K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.92K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.5 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.5 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	97%
Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.54 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	83%
Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.58 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	52%
Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.62 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	22%
Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.66 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	7%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$2.92K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026 If Etsy, Inc. reports Above X etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Etsy Gross Merchandise Sales in Q3
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026

If Etsy, Inc. reports Above X etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Etsy, Inc. reports Above 2660000000 etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the prop"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.66 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $800
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.62 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $23
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.58 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $407
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.54 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.5 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $620
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

Etsy Gross Merchandise Sales in Q3

Volume$2.92K

Markets5

5 of 5

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.5 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.0¢No 3.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.5 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

If Etsy, Inc. reports Above 2500000000 etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the prop

KALSHI

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.54 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.5¢No 17.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.54 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

If Etsy, Inc. reports Above 2540000000 etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the prop

KALSHI

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.58 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.58 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

If Etsy, Inc. reports Above 2580000000 etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the prop

KALSHI

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.62 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 21.5¢No 78.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.62 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

If Etsy, Inc. reports Above 2620000000 etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the prop

KALSHI

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.66 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.66 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

If Etsy, Inc. reports Above 2660000000 etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the prop

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

52¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/OeQA9p" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Etsy Gross Merchandise Sales in Q3"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Etsy Gross Merchandise Sales in Q3

Etsy Gross Merchandise Sales in Q3

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.5 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Etsy Gross Merchandise Sales in Q3

Markets (5)

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.5 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.5 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.54 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.54 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.58 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.58 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.62 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.62 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.66 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.66 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.5 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Etsy Gross Merchandise Sales in Q3

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.5 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.5 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.54 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.54 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.58 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.58 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.62 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.62 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.66 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.66 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget