Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? (October 13)

Name: What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? (October 13)
End: 2026-10-13T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$10.15K

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What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? (October 13)

Vol

$10.15K

Events

Markets

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Polymarket

markets · $10.15K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.15K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Poly	99%
Will "Doing Life" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Poly	1%
Will "UNABOMBER" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Poly	0%
Will "The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Poly	0%
Will "The Breadwinner" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$10.15K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 M

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? (October 13)
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 13, 2026 (2 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 M

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple mov"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $12.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.84)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will "UNABOMBER" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $877
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will "The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $633
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will "Doing Life" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will "The Breadwinner" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $626
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.1% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture