Name: Fannie Mae IPO Closing Market Cap
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

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Fannie Mae IPO Closing Market Cap | PredictPedia

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7 markets tracked

Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Poly	77%
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?	Poly	7%
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?	Poly	6%
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $350B and $400B at market close on IPO day?	Poly	4%
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $250B and $300B at market close on IPO day?	Poly	4%
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?	Poly	3%
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $300B and $350B at market close on IPO day?	Poly	1%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Fannie Mae IPO Closing Market Cap
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (166 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $20.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $10.1K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.03)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $3.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $3.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.3% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $250B and $300B at market close on IPO day?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $300B and $350B at market close on IPO day?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $350B and $400B at market close on IPO day?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $3.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

165d 8h remaining

Jun 30, 2026 12:00 AM

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14¢

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Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?

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Events (1)

Fannie Mae IPO Closing Market Cap

Markets (7)

Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $350B and $400B at market close on IPO day?

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $350B and $400B at market close on IPO day?

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $250B and $300B at market close on IPO day?

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $250B and $300B at market close on IPO day?

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Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?

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Fannie Mae IPO Closing Market Cap

Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $350B and $400B at market close on IPO day?

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $350B and $400B at market close on IPO day?

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $250B and $300B at market close on IPO day?

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $250B and $300B at market close on IPO day?

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