
Precipitation in Hong Kong in November?
PM $48.77
1
7
Precipitation in Hong Kong in November?

PM $48.77
1
7
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 31, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 10-25mm at 52%.
Polymarket
- 10-25mm52%
- 95mm+47.5%
- 5-10mm44%
- <5mm41%
- 35-60mm41%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $48.77
Reported volume · provider units
7
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between November 1 and November 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in November 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by February 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

Precipitation in London in November?
PM $228.91
Precipitation in Seoul in November?
PM $140.89
Precipitation in Seattle in November?
PM $120
Precipitation in NYC in November?
PM $150
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
PM $8.00M · K 17.48M contractsWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?
Kalshi: Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)
Related contracts
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Kalshi: Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)
Related contracts
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Kalshi: Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Google)
Related contracts
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.

Forever: First Week Streams
K 6.5K contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
