Skip to main content
Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Precipitation in Hong Kong in November?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in November?
Vol

PM $48.77

|
Events

1

|
Markets

7

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 31, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 10-25mm at 52%.

Polymarket

  1. 10-25mm52%
  2. 95mm+47.5%
  3. 5-10mm44%
  4. <5mm41%
  5. 35-60mm41%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $48.77

Reported volume · provider units

7

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between November 1 and November 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in November 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by February 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketScience
Precipitation in London in November?

Precipitation in London in November?

PM $228.91
Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in November?Yes 20%
Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in November?Yes 20%
Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in November?Yes 18%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
Precipitation in Seoul in November?

Precipitation in Seoul in November?

PM $140.89
Will Seoul have between 30-45mm of precipitation in November?Yes 27%
Will Seoul have between 20-30mm of precipitation in November?Yes 23%
Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in November?Yes 15%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
Precipitation in Seattle in November?

Precipitation in Seattle in November?

PM $120
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in November?Yes 22%
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4.5 inches of precipitation in November?Yes 16%
Will Seattle have between 5 and 5.75 inches of precipitation in November?Yes 16%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
Precipitation in NYC in November?

Precipitation in NYC in November?

PM $150
Will NYC have between 4.25 and 5.75 inches of precipitation in November?Yes 28%
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in November?Yes 20%
Will NYC have between 3.5 and 4.25 inches of precipitation in November?Yes 19%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Best LLM at the end of the decade?

PM $8.00M · K 17.48M contracts

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?

Kalshi: Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)

Related contracts

PM Yes 81%Rules differK Yes 78.5%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Kalshi: Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)

Related contracts

PM Yes 34%Rules differK Yes 78.5%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Kalshi: Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Google)

Related contracts

PM Yes 57.5%Rules differK Yes 5.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

45 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Forever: First Week Streams

Forever: First Week Streams

K 6.5K contracts
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 50000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 50%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 100000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 32.5%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 250000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 26%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

Trade This Market