Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

South Africa retail sales in August

Total Volume

$22.57K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

South Africa retail sales in August

Vol

$22.57K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $22.57K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $22.57K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -1.5%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -1.5%?	Kalshi	82%
Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -1.0%?	Kalshi	62%
Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -0.5%?	Kalshi	44%
Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 0.0%?	Kalshi	25%
Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 0.5%?	Kalshi	11%
Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 1.0%?	Kalshi	8%
Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 1.5%?	Kalshi	8%
Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 2.0%?	Kalshi	3%
Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 3.0%?	Kalshi	3%
Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 2.5%?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

82%

Top Probability

$22.57K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

August 2026 If the South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** South Africa retail sales in August
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** August 2026

If the South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $22.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 3.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 2.5%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 2.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 1.5%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -1.5%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 81.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 1.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -1.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 0.5%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -0.5%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 0.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

South Africa retail sales in August

Volume$22.57K

Markets10

10 of 10

Sort:

KALSHI

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -1.5%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 81.5¢No 18.5¢

KALSHITech

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -1.5%?

If the South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above -1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -1.0%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 62.0¢No 38.0¢

KALSHITech

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -1.0%?

If the South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above -1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -0.5%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 43.5¢No 56.5¢

KALSHITech

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -0.5%?

If the South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above -0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 0.0%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.0¢No 75.0¢

KALSHITech

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 0.0%?

If the South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 0.5%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.0¢No 89.0¢

KALSHITech

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 0.5%?

If the South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

25¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/OyDPJh" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="South Africa retail sales in August"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

South Africa retail sales in August

South Africa retail sales in August

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -1.5%?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

South Africa retail sales in August

Markets (10)

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -1.5%?

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -1.5%?

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -1.0%?

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -1.0%?

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -0.5%?

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -0.5%?

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 0.0%?

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 0.0%?

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 0.5%?

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 0.5%?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -1.5%?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

South Africa retail sales in August

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -1.5%?

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -1.5%?

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -1.0%?

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -1.0%?

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -0.5%?

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above -0.5%?

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 0.0%?

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 0.0%?

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 0.5%?

Will South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 be above 0.5%?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget