Name: How many inches of snow in NYC in January?
End: 2026-01-31T00:00:00.000Z

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How many inches of snow in NYC in January? | PredictPedia

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Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?	Poly	100%
Will there be 14-16 inches of snow in NYC in January?	Poly	0%
Will there be 16 or more inches of snow in NYC in January?	Poly	0%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many inches of snow in NYC in January?
**Category:** Science | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the total snowfall in Central Park, New York City in January 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for January 2026 under "New Snow (IN)" when the "Daily data for a month" for "NY-Central Park Area" is selected at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the total snowfall in Central Park, New York City in January 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source f"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $62.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.1K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 15.23)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will there be 14-16 inches of snow in NYC in January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $14.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $40.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will there be 16 or more inches of snow in NYC in January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $7.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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33¢

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How many inches of snow in NYC in January?

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Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?

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Events (1)

How many inches of snow in NYC in January?

Markets (3)

Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?

Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?

Will there be 14-16 inches of snow in NYC in January?

Will there be 14-16 inches of snow in NYC in January?

Will there be 16 or more inches of snow in NYC in January?

Will there be 16 or more inches of snow in NYC in January?

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Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?

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How many inches of snow in NYC in January?

Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?

Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?

Will there be 14-16 inches of snow in NYC in January?

Will there be 14-16 inches of snow in NYC in January?

Will there be 16 or more inches of snow in NYC in January?

Will there be 16 or more inches of snow in NYC in January?

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