Will President Trump be impeached during his term? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Total Volume

$250.55K

Events

Markets

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Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $250.55K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $250.55K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?	Kalshi	67%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

67%

Top Probability

$250.55K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Jan 20, 2029 If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. The President must be in office at the time an impeachment resolution passes. This market will close and expire following the occurrence of the event.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, March 2, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will President Trump be impeached during his term?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 20, 2029

If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. The President must be in office at the time an impeachment resolution passes. This market will close and expire following the occurrence of the event.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The President must be in office at the time an impeachment resolution passes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the occurrence of the event"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $250.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $250.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

67¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/P3p6BP" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will President Trump be impeached during his term?"></iframe>

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Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

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Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)