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Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Total Volume

$0.00

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Trade on Kalshi

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

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Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?	Kalshi	62%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

62%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

Before Jan 20, 2029 If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. The President must be in office at the time an impeachment resolution passes. This market will close and expire following the occurrence of the event.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will President Trump be impeached during his term?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 20, 2029

If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. The President must be in office at the time an impeachment resolution passes. This market will close and expire following the occurrence of the event.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The President must be in office at the time an impeachment resolution passes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the occurrence of the event"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.5% (0.0%)]

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## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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