Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance
Total Volume
$970.32K
Events
1
Markets
1
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $970.32K
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Volume DistributionTotal: $970.32K
100%
Polymarket leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
Series: Most nashors?
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 0% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
0%
Top Probability
$970.32K
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
This market refers to the LoL match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Team WE in the LPL Group Perseverance, scheduled for January 25 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win the match against Team WE. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against Ninjas in Pyjamas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will reso
What Prediction Markets Are Forecasting
Prediction markets give Team WE about a 70% chance to win this League of Legends match. In simpler terms, traders collectively believe Team WE has roughly a 2 in 3 chance of victory. This shows a clear, though not overwhelming, confidence in Team WE. The market sees Ninjas in Pyjamas as the underdog, with about a 30% chance, or a 1 in 3 shot at an upset.
Why the Market Sees It This Way
Two main factors explain these odds. First is the difference in league prestige. Team WE competes in China's LPL, widely considered the strongest and most competitive League of Legends region in the world over the last few years. Ninjas in Pyjamas, while a historic name, currently plays in Europe's second-tier regional league (the NLC), which is a significant step down in competition level.
Second, recent performance matters. This match is part of the "LPL Group Perseverance" event, a preseason tournament where LPL teams often face international opponents. Markets are likely weighing the general strength and resources of a top-tier LPL organization against a team from a less dominant region. Historical context also plays a role. LPL teams have consistently performed well against non-top-tier international competition, which builds confidence in Team WE's position as the favorite.
Key Dates and Events to Watch
The main event is the match itself, scheduled for January 25 at 4:00 AM ET. Any last-minute roster changes or announcements about player health could shift predictions slightly. Once the match begins, the draft phase, where teams select their champions, will provide the first real-time signal. A highly favorable draft for Ninjas in Pyjamas could make the match look more competitive early on. Otherwise, the result will be known within a few hours of the start time.
How Reliable Are These Predictions?
For professional sports and esports matches, prediction markets are often quite accurate. They aggregate the knowledge of many fans and bettors who follow team form, player skill, and strategic trends. However, their reliability isn't perfect. Esports are known for occasional unpredictable upsets, and preseason matches can sometimes feature experimental strategies or relaxed play. The odds reflect the most likely outcome based on available information, but the inherent uncertainty of any single game remains.
Current Market Outlook
Prediction markets on Polymarket price a Team WE victory at 80 cents, implying an 80% probability they win this best-of-three match. Ninjas in Pyjamas trades at 20 cents, a 20% win probability. This heavy skew shows the market views Team WE as a clear favorite. The substantial $970,000 in trading volume confirms strong interest and provides solid liquidity for these odds.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
The pricing reflects Team WE's established position in China's League of Legends Pro League (LPL) against Ninjas in Pyjamas' (NIP) inconsistent form. Team WE finished the 2023 Summer Split in 5th place and made a regional finals appearance, demonstrating a core competitive level. NIP, while sometimes capable of upsets, ended the same split in 11th place with a negative record. Historical head-to-head data in 2023 also favors Team WE, who won both of their regular season series against NIP. The market is effectively pricing NIP's roster volatility and weaker recent results against WE's more stable, playoff-caliber baseline.
What Could Change These Odds
A major odds shift would require NIP outperforming their recent history. Their path to an upset relies heavily on individual player form, particularly the performance of star mid-laner Rookie. If Rookie dominates his lane matchup and NIP's bot lane avoids early deficits, they could win a game and create momentum. Conversely, these odds could solidify further if pre-match analysis or scrimmage rumors suggest Team WE is in strong form. The match is scheduled for January 25 at 4:00 AM ET, so any last-minute roster changes or champion meta shifts revealed in earlier LPL matches that day could cause final pre-match volatility.
Cross-Platform Analysis
This market is trading exclusively on Polymarket. The lack of a comparable market on Kalshi or other platforms prevents cross-platform arbitrage opportunities. All market sentiment and liquidity are concentrated in this single contract, making the 80/20 price split the definitive consensus view.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.