Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

EURUSD price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT

Total Volume

$21.00

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Markets

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EURUSD price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT

Vol

$21.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $21.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $21.00

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will EURUSD be Above 1.097 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Will EURUSD be Above 1.097 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	97%
Will EURUSD be Above 1.099 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	97%
Will EURUSD be Above 1.101 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	96%
Will EURUSD be Above 1.103 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	95%
Will EURUSD be Above 1.105 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	93%
Will EURUSD be Above 1.107 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	89%
Will EURUSD be Above 1.109 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	84%
Will EURUSD be Above 1.111 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	76%
Will EURUSD be Above 1.113 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	67%
Will EURUSD be Above 1.115 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	57%
Will EURUSD be Above 1.117 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	47%
Will EURUSD be Above 1.119 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	37%
Will EURUSD be Above 1.121 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	28%
Will EURUSD be Above 1.123 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	18%
Will EURUSD be Above 1.125 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	13%
Will EURUSD be Above 1.127 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	9%
Will EURUSD be Above 1.129 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	7%
Will EURUSD be Above 1.131 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	5%
Will EURUSD be Above 1.133 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	4%
Will EURUSD be Above 1.135 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$21.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm ET If the value of the EURUSD opening candlestick is Above X at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the EURUSD exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026. If the rate is Above X at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Roun

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** EURUSD price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm ET

If the value of the EURUSD opening candlestick is Above X at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the EURUSD exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026. If the rate is Above X at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Roun

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the value of the EURUSD opening candlestick is Above 1.135 at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved
The market resolves based on the open value of the EURUSD exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026.
If the rate is Above"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $21
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will EURUSD be Above 1.135 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will EURUSD be Above 1.133 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will EURUSD be Above 1.131 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will EURUSD be Above 1.129 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will EURUSD be Above 1.127 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will EURUSD be Above 1.125 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will EURUSD be Above 1.123 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $21
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will EURUSD be Above 1.121 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will EURUSD be Above 1.119 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will EURUSD be Above 1.117 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will EURUSD be Above 1.115 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will EURUSD be Above 1.113 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will EURUSD be Above 1.111 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 76.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will EURUSD be Above 1.109 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will EURUSD be Above 1.107 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will EURUSD be Above 1.105 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will EURUSD be Above 1.103 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will EURUSD be Above 1.101 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will EURUSD be Above 1.099 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will EURUSD be Above 1.097 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

EURUSD price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT

Volume$21.00

Markets20

20 of 20

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KALSHI

Will EURUSD be Above 1.097 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.0¢No 3.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will EURUSD be Above 1.097 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

If the value of the EURUSD opening candlestick is Above 1.097 at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the EURUSD exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026. If the rate is Above

KALSHI

Will EURUSD be Above 1.099 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will EURUSD be Above 1.099 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

If the value of the EURUSD opening candlestick is Above 1.099 at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the EURUSD exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026. If the rate is Above

KALSHI

Will EURUSD be Above 1.101 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will EURUSD be Above 1.101 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

If the value of the EURUSD opening candlestick is Above 1.101 at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the EURUSD exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026. If the rate is Above

KALSHI

Will EURUSD be Above 1.103 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will EURUSD be Above 1.103 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

If the value of the EURUSD opening candlestick is Above 1.103 at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the EURUSD exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026. If the rate is Above

KALSHI

Will EURUSD be Above 1.105 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will EURUSD be Above 1.105 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

If the value of the EURUSD opening candlestick is Above 1.105 at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the EURUSD exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026. If the rate is Above

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/P6FJBZ" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="EURUSD price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT"></iframe>

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EURUSD price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT

EURUSD price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT

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Will EURUSD be Above 1.097 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

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About This Event

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Events (1)

EURUSD price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT

Markets (20)

Will EURUSD be Above 1.097 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will EURUSD be Above 1.097 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will EURUSD be Above 1.099 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will EURUSD be Above 1.099 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will EURUSD be Above 1.101 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will EURUSD be Above 1.101 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will EURUSD be Above 1.103 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will EURUSD be Above 1.103 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will EURUSD be Above 1.105 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will EURUSD be Above 1.105 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

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Will EURUSD be Above 1.097 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

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EURUSD price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT

Will EURUSD be Above 1.097 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will EURUSD be Above 1.097 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will EURUSD be Above 1.099 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will EURUSD be Above 1.099 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will EURUSD be Above 1.101 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will EURUSD be Above 1.101 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will EURUSD be Above 1.103 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will EURUSD be Above 1.103 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will EURUSD be Above 1.105 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will EURUSD be Above 1.105 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

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