Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next Premier of British Columbia

Name: Next Premier of British Columbia
End: 2026-10-24T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$131.61K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next Premier of British Columbia

Vol

$131.61K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $131.61K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $131.61K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Poly	76%
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Poly	25%
Will John Rustad be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Poly	0%
Will Peter Milobar be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Poly	0%
Will Emily Lowan be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Poly	0%
Will Dallas Brodie be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

76%

Top Probability

$131.61K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 2026 British Columbia general election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026 to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of British Columbia as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next Premier of British Columbia
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 24, 2026 (13 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** The 2026 British Columbia general election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026 to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of British Columbia as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2026 British Columbia general election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026 to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of British Columbia as a result of the specified electio"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $131.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $314.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.42)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $68.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $52.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will John Rustad be the next Premier of British Columbia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Peter Milobar be the next Premier of British Columbia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $942
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Emily Lowan be the next Premier of British Columbia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Dallas Brodie be the next Premier of British Columbia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $6.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics