Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

When will Mamdani visit the White House?

Total Volume

$2.01K

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When will Mamdani visit the White House?

Vol

$2.01K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.01K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.01K

100%

Kalshi leads

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3 markets tracked

Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Mar 1, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Mar 1, 2027?	Kalshi	43%
Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	25%
Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	9%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

43%

Top Probability

$2.01K

Volume

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About This Event

Zohran Mamdani visit to the White House If Zohran Mamdani has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the White House before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. Visits that began before market issuance do not count. The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within e

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Mamdani visit the White House?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Zohran Mamdani visit to the White House

If Zohran Mamdani has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the White House before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. Visits that began before market issuance do not count. The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within e

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Zohran Mamdani has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the White House before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Visits that began before market issuance do not count.

The following do NOT constitute a visit:

Flying over the a"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Mar 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 8, 2027): Vol $228
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $681
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

When will Mamdani visit the White House?

Volume$2.01K

Markets3

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KALSHI

Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Mar 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 42.5¢No 57.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Mar 1, 2027?

If Zohran Mamdani has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the White House before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Visits that began before market issuance do not count. The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the a

KALSHI

Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.0¢No 75.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

If Zohran Mamdani has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the White House before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Visits that began before market issuance do not count. The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the a

KALSHI

Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Nov 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Nov 1, 2026?

If Zohran Mamdani has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the White House before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Visits that began before market issuance do not count. The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the a

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When will Mamdani visit the White House?

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Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Mar 1, 2027?

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Events (1)

When will Mamdani visit the White House?

Markets (3)

Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Mar 1, 2027?

Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Mar 1, 2027?

Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Nov 1, 2026?

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Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Mar 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will Mamdani visit the White House?

Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Mar 1, 2027?

Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Mar 1, 2027?

Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Nov 1, 2026?

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