Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: Correct Score

Total Volume

$30.95K

Events

Markets

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Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: Correct Score

Vol

$30.95K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $30.95K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $30.95K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

27 markets tracked

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 2-0?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(27)

Market	Platform	Price
Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 2-0?	Kalshi	25%
Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 1-0?	Kalshi	25%
Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 5-1?	Kalshi	24%
Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 4-3?	Kalshi	24%
Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 4-2?	Kalshi	24%
Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 4-1?	Kalshi	24%
Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 4-0?	Kalshi	24%
Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 4-3?	Kalshi	24%
Final score Draw 3-3?	Kalshi	24%
Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 3-0?	Kalshi	24%
Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 5-2?	Kalshi	24%
Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 4-2?	Kalshi	24%
Final score Draw 2-2?	Kalshi	24%
Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 5-1?	Kalshi	24%
Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 4-1?	Kalshi	24%
Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 4-0?	Kalshi	24%
Final score Draw 0-0?	Kalshi	23%
Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 3-1?	Kalshi	22%
Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 2-1?	Kalshi	21%
Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 2-1?	Kalshi	21%
Final score Draw 1-1?	Kalshi	21%
Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 3-0?	Kalshi	21%
Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 1-0?	Kalshi	21%
Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 2-0?	Kalshi	14%
Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 3-2?	Kalshi	14%
Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 3-2?	Kalshi	13%
Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 3-1?	Kalshi	13%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

25%

Top Probability

$30.95K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

RVC vs ATH (Oct 10) If Rayo Vallecano wins X in the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: Correct Score
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** RVC vs ATH (Oct 10)

If Rayo Vallecano wins X in the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Rayo Vallecano wins 5-1 in the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close an"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $31.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 5-1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 4-3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 4-2?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 4-1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 4-0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 4-3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Final score Draw 3-3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 3-2?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 3-1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 3-0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 5-2?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 4-2?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 3-2?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $976
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Final score Draw 2-2?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $17
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 2-1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 2-0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $93
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 5-1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 4-1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 3-1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $604
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 2-1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Final score Draw 1-1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 1-0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 4-0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 3-0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $76
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 2-0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $315
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 1-0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $10.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Final score Draw 0-0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $6.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: Correct Score

Volume$30.95K

Markets27

27 of 27

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KALSHI

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 2-0?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.0¢No 75.0¢

KALSHISports

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 2-0?

If Rayo Vallecano wins 2-0 in the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close an

KALSHI

Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 1-0?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 24.5¢No 75.5¢

KALSHISports

Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 1-0?

If Athletic Bilbao wins 1-0 in the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close a

KALSHI

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 5-1?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢

KALSHISports

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 5-1?

If Rayo Vallecano wins 5-1 in the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close an

KALSHI

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 4-3?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢

KALSHISports

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 4-3?

If Rayo Vallecano wins 4-3 in the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close an

KALSHI

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 4-2?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢

KALSHISports

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 4-2?

If Rayo Vallecano wins 4-2 in the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close an

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22¢

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Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: Correct Score

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: Correct Score

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Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 2-0?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: Correct Score

Markets (27)

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 2-0?

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 2-0?

Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 1-0?

Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 1-0?

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 5-1?

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 5-1?

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 4-3?

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 4-3?

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 4-2?

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 4-2?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 2-0?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: Correct Score

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 2-0?

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 2-0?

Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 1-0?

Final score Athletic Bilbao wins 1-0?

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 5-1?

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 5-1?

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 4-3?

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 4-3?

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 4-2?

Final score Rayo Vallecano wins 4-2?

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