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Event GroupKALSHIElections

2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?

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2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?

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Will the Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?

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Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?	Kalshi	48%
Will the Republican party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?	Kalshi	21%
Will the Democratic party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?	Kalshi	13%
Will the Democratic party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?	Kalshi	12%
Will the Republican party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?	Kalshi	4%
Will the Republican party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?	Kalshi	3%
Will the Republican party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?	Kalshi	3%
Will the Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

48%

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About This Event

In 2029 If the Republican party wins the House, the Republican party wins X party wins the Presidency in the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close on February 1 following the election at 10:00 AM ET or the first date thereafter that data is available. This market will close on February 1 following the election at 10:00 AM ET or the first date thereafter that data is available.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2029

If the Republican party wins the House, the Republican party wins X party wins the Presidency in the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close on February 1 following the election at 10:00 AM ET or the first date thereafter that data is available. This market will close on February 1 following the election at 10:00 AM ET or the first date thereafter that data is available.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Republican party wins the House, the Republican party wins the Senate, and the Republican party wins the Presidency in the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close on February 1 following the election at 10:00 AM ET or the first date therea"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Republican party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Republican party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Republican party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Republican party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Democratic party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the Democratic party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.6% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?

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KALSHI

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?

If the Democratic party wins the House, the Democratic party wins the Senate, and the Democratic party wins the Presidency in the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close on February 1 following the election at 10:00 AM ET or the first date therea

KALSHI

Will the Republican party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Republican party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?

If the Republican party wins the House, the Republican party wins the Senate, and the Republican party wins the Presidency in the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close on February 1 following the election at 10:00 AM ET or the first date therea

KALSHI

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?

If the Democratic party wins the House, the Republican party wins the Senate, and the Democratic party wins the Presidency in the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close on February 1 following the election at 10:00 AM ET or the first date therea

KALSHI

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.9¢No 88.1¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?

If the Democratic party wins the House, the Republican party wins the Senate, and the Republican party wins the Presidency in the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close on February 1 following the election at 10:00 AM ET or the first date therea

KALSHI

Will the Republican party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.2¢No 95.8¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Republican party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?

If the Republican party wins the House, the Democratic party wins the Senate, and the Republican party wins the Presidency in the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close on February 1 following the election at 10:00 AM ET or the first date therea

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13¢

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2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?

2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?

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Will the Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?

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Events (1)

2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?

Markets (8)

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?

Will the Republican party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?

Will the Republican party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?

Will the Republican party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?

Will the Republican party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?

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Will the Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?

Will the Republican party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?

Will the Republican party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?

Will the Republican party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?

Will the Republican party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?

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