Name: Estoril Praia vs. CD Tondela
End: 2026-02-07T18:00:00.000Z

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Will Estoril Praia vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Estoril Praia vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?	Poly	100%
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-02-07?	Poly	0%
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-02-07?	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Estoril Praia vs. CD Tondela
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 7, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, February 7, 2026 between Estoril Praia and CD Tondela.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 7, 2026
If Estoril Praia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $90.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $103.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.87)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-02-07?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $46.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Estoril Praia vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $17.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will CD Tondela win on 2026-02-07?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $26.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

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Estoril Praia vs. CD Tondela

Estoril Praia vs. CD Tondela

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Will Estoril Praia vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?

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Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Estoril Praia vs. CD Tondela

Markets (3)

Will Estoril Praia vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?

Will Estoril Praia vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?

Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-02-07?

Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-02-07?

Will CD Tondela win on 2026-02-07?

Will CD Tondela win on 2026-02-07?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Estoril Praia vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Estoril Praia vs. CD Tondela

Will Estoril Praia vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?

Will Estoril Praia vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?

Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-02-07?

Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-02-07?

Will CD Tondela win on 2026-02-07?

Will CD Tondela win on 2026-02-07?

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