Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Malaga vs Real Sociedad

Total Volume

$1.70K

Events

Markets

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Malaga vs Real Sociedad

Vol

$1.70K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.70K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.70K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Real Sociedad wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Real Sociedad wins	Kalshi	44%
Malaga wins	Kalshi	29%
Tie is the result	Kalshi	27%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

44%

Top Probability

$1.70K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

MCF vs RSO (Oct 18) If X wins the Malaga vs Real Sociedad professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Malaga vs Real Sociedad professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Malaga vs Real Sociedad
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** MCF vs RSO (Oct 18)

If X wins the Malaga vs Real Sociedad professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Malaga vs Real Sociedad professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tie is the result of the Malaga vs Real Sociedad professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Malaga vs Re"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tie is the result
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Real Sociedad wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Malaga wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $673
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Malaga vs Real Sociedad

Volume$1.70K

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

Real Sociedad wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.0¢No 56.0¢

KALSHISports

Real Sociedad wins

If Real Sociedad wins the Malaga vs Real Sociedad professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Malaga vs Real

KALSHI

Malaga wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.0¢No 71.0¢

KALSHISports

Malaga wins

If Malaga wins the Malaga vs Real Sociedad professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Malaga vs Real Socied

KALSHI

Tie is the result

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 26.5¢No 73.5¢

KALSHIOther

Tie is the result

If Tie is the result of the Malaga vs Real Sociedad professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Malaga vs Re

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Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/PS11oU" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Malaga vs Real Sociedad"></iframe>

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Malaga vs Real Sociedad

Malaga vs Real Sociedad

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Real Sociedad wins

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Malaga vs Real Sociedad

Markets (3)

Real Sociedad wins

Real Sociedad wins

Malaga wins

Malaga wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

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Real Sociedad wins

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Malaga vs Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad wins

Real Sociedad wins

Malaga wins

Malaga wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

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