Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?

Name: Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$224.80K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?

Vol

$224.80K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $224.80K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $224.80K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Poly	27%
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	Poly	7%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

27%

Top Probability

$224.80K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Katie Zacharia ceases to be White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Katie Zacharia's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If Katie Zacharia has not yet taken office as White House Press Secretary at

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, October 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (78 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if Katie Zacharia ceases to be White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Katie Zacharia's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If Katie Zacharia has not yet taken office as White House Press Secretary at

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Katie Zacharia ceases to be White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Katie Zacharia's resignation/removal by this market's end "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $224.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $110.0K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.04)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $105.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $119.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics