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Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Number of US oil rigs at end of 2026

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Number of US oil rigs at end of 2026

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7 markets tracked

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 370)

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Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 370)	Kalshi	96%
How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 380)	Kalshi	95%
How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 390)	Kalshi	92%
How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 400)	Kalshi	88%
How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 410)	Kalshi	85%
How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 420)	Kalshi	80%
How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 430)	Kalshi	75%

AI Analysis

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96%

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$0.00

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About This Event

In 2026 If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least X then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this market, the relevant value is the figure in the “Oil” column, not the figure in the “Total Rigs” column. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Number of US oil rigs at end of 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least X then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this market, the relevant value is the figure in the “Oil” column, not the figure in the “Total Rigs” column. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 430, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this market, the relevant value is the figure in the “Oil” column, not the figure in the “Total Rigs” column. Early close condition: This "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 430)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 420)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 410)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 84.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 400)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 390)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 380)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 370)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Number of US oil rigs at end of 2026

Volume$0.00

Markets7

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KALSHI

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 370)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHIOther

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 370)

If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 370, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this market, the relevant value is the figure in the “Oil” column, not the figure in the “Total Rigs” column. Early close condition: This

KALSHI

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 380)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHIOther

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 380)

If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 380, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this market, the relevant value is the figure in the “Oil” column, not the figure in the “Total Rigs” column. Early close condition: This

KALSHI

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 390)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHIOther

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 390)

If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 390, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this market, the relevant value is the figure in the “Oil” column, not the figure in the “Total Rigs” column. Early close condition: This

KALSHI

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 400)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢

KALSHIOther

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 400)

If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 400, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this market, the relevant value is the figure in the “Oil” column, not the figure in the “Total Rigs” column. Early close condition: This

KALSHI

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 410)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 84.5¢No 15.5¢

KALSHIOther

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 410)

If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 410, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this market, the relevant value is the figure in the “Oil” column, not the figure in the “Total Rigs” column. Early close condition: This

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Number of US oil rigs at end of 2026

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How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 370)

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Events (1)

Number of US oil rigs at end of 2026

Markets (7)

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 370)

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 370)

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 380)

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 380)

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 390)

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 390)

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 400)

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 400)

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 410)

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 410)

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How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 370)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Number of US oil rigs at end of 2026

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 370)

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 370)

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 380)

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 380)

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 390)

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 390)

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 400)

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 400)

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 410)

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 410)

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