Market snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIMentions

What will Trump say this week?

Reported volume

K 1.5K contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

What will Trump say this week?

Vol

K 1.5K contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Provider overview

polymarket

Reported lifetime volume

kalshi

1.5K contracts

Reported lifetime volume

Reviewed equivalent pairs

No eligible price comparison

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Price ChartContract price history

38 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Trump say "Dividend / Stimulus" before Oct 26, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(38)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump say "Dividend / Stimulus" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	97.5%
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	94.0%
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	94.0%
Will Trump say "Superintelligence / Super Intelligence" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	91.0%
Will Trump say "Golf / Golfer / Golfing" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	79.0%
Will Trump say "Diesel" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	71.0%
Will Trump say "Ethanol" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	70.5%
Will Trump say "Melania" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	68.5%
Will Trump say "Cuba / Cuban" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	54.5%
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	54.0%
Will Trump say "Autopen / Auto Pen" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	54.0%
Will Trump say "Ilhan / Omar" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	53.0%
Will Trump say "Bibi / Netanyahu" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	52.5%
Will Trump say "Zohran / Mamdani" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	52.0%
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	52.0%
Will Trump say "TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	51.0%
Will Trump say "Blockade" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	51.0%
Will Trump say "Third Term" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	49.5%
Will Trump say "Rigged Election / Stolen Election" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	49.5%
Will Trump say "Moon" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	49.5%
Will Trump say "Houthi" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	49.0%
Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	49.0%
Will Trump say "Vivek / Ramaswamy" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	48.5%
Will Trump say "Tomahawk" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	48.5%
Will Trump say "Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	48.5%
Will Trump say "Nobel" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	48.5%
Will Trump say "Golden Dome" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	48.0%
Will Trump say "Soleimani" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	48.0%
Will Trump say "Prediction Market / Predictive Market" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	48.0%
Will Trump say "Zacharia" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	47.5%
Will Trump say "Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	47.5%
Will Trump say "Stupid Question" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	47.0%
Will Trump say "Cybersecurity / Cyber Security" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	45.5%
Will Trump say "Make Iran Great Again" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	43.5%
Will Trump say "UFO / UAP" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	21.5%
Will Trump say "Antifa" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	21.5%
Will Trump say "Uranium" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	19.0%
Will Trump say "Epstein" before Oct 26, 2026?	Kalshi	11.5%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 1.5K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Before Oct 26, 2026 If X / Y or a plural or possessive form Z / Y is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts, Twitter/Truth Social. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. Grammatical/tense inflections. This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: What will Trump say this week?
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 1.5K contracts
Coverage: 38 of 38 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Trump say "Zohran / Mamdani" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-ZOHR; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 52.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 48.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Zohran / Mamdani, or a plural or possessive form of Zohran / Mamdani, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Zacharia" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-ZACH; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 47.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Zacharia, or a plural or possessive form of Zacharia, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Vivek / Ramaswamy" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-VIVE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 48.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 51.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Vivek / Ramaswamy, or a plural or possessive form of Vivek / Ramaswamy, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Uranium" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-URAN; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 5 contracts
Outcome Yes: 19.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 81.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Uranium, or a plural or possessive form of Uranium, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "UFO / UAP" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-UFO; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 3 contracts
Outcome Yes: 21.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 78.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If UFO / UAP, or a plural or possessive form of UFO / UAP, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Tomahawk" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-TOMA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 48.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 51.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tomahawk, or a plural or possessive form of Tomahawk, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Third Term" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-THIR; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Third Term, or a plural or possessive form of Third Term, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-TDS; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 51.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 49.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome, or a plural or possessive form of TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Superintelligence / Super Intelligence" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-SUPE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 198 contracts
Outcome Yes: 91.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 9.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Superintelligence / Super Intelligence, or a plural or possessive form of Superintelligence / Super Intelligence, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Stupid Question" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-STUP; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 47.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 53.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Stupid Question, or a plural or possessive form of Stupid Question, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Soleimani" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-SOLE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 48.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Soleimani, or a plural or possessive form of Soleimani, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-SLEE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 378.35 contracts
Outcome Yes: 94.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 6.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Sleepy Joe, or a plural or possessive form of Sleepy Joe, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Rigged Election / Stolen Election" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-RIGG; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Rigged Election / Stolen Election, or a plural or possessive form of Rigged Election / Stolen Election, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-RANK; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 48.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 51.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice, or a plural or possessive form of Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Prediction Market / Predictive Market" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-PRED; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 48.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Prediction Market / Predictive Market, or a plural or possessive form of Prediction Market / Predictive Market, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-PEAC; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 52.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 48.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Peace in the Middle East, or a plural or possessive form of Peace in the Middle East, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Nobel" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-NOBE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 48.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 51.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Nobel, or a plural or possessive form of Nobel, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Moon" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-MOON; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Moon, or a plural or possessive form of Moon, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Melania" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-MELA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 100 contracts
Outcome Yes: 68.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 31.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Melania, or a plural or possessive form of Melania, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-MARI; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 47.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, or a plural or possessive form of Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Make Iran Great Again" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-MAKE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 10 contracts
Outcome Yes: 43.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 56.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Make Iran Great Again, or a plural or possessive form of Make Iran Great Again, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Ilhan / Omar" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-ILHA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 53.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 47.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Ilhan / Omar, or a plural or possessive form of Ilhan / Omar, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Houthi" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-HOUT; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 51.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Houthi, or a plural or possessive form of Houthi, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Golf / Golfer / Golfing" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-GOLF; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 10 contracts
Outcome Yes: 79.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 21.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Golf / Golfer / Golfing, or a plural or possessive form of Golf / Golfer / Golfing, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Golden Dome" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-GOLD; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 48.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Golden Dome, or a plural or possessive form of Golden Dome, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Ethanol" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-ETHA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 70.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 29.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Ethanol, or a plural or possessive form of Ethanol, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Epstein" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-EPST; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 10 contracts
Outcome Yes: 11.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 88.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Epstein, or a plural or possessive form of Epstein, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Dividend / Stimulus" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-DIVI; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 447 contracts
Outcome Yes: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Dividend / Stimulus, or a plural or possessive form of Dividend / Stimulus, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Diesel" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-DIES; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 71.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 29.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Diesel, or a plural or possessive form of Diesel, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Cybersecurity / Cyber Security" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-CYBE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 45.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 54.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Cybersecurity / Cyber Security, or a plural or possessive form of Cybersecurity / Cyber Security, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Cuba / Cuban" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-CUBA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 54.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 45.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Cuba / Cuban, or a plural or possessive form of Cuba / Cuban, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-CRYP; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 51.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Crypto / Bitcoin, or a plural or possessive form of Crypto / Bitcoin, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Ceasefire" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-CEAS; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 54.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 46.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Ceasefire, or a plural or possessive form of Ceasefire, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Blockade" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-BLOC; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 3 contracts
Outcome Yes: 51.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 49.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Blockade, or a plural or possessive form of Blockade, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Bibi / Netanyahu" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-BIBI; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 52.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 47.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Bibi / Netanyahu, or a plural or possessive form of Bibi / Netanyahu, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-BARA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 296 contracts
Outcome Yes: 94.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 6.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Barack Hussein Obama, or a plural or possessive form of Barack Hussein Obama, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Autopen / Auto Pen" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-AUTO; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 54.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 46.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Autopen / Auto Pen, or a plural or possessive form of Autopen / Auto Pen, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Contract: Will Trump say "Antifa" before Oct 26, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-ANTI; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay-26oct26
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 31 contracts
Outcome Yes: 21.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 78.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Antifa, or a plural or possessive form of Antifa, is stated by Donald Trump after October 19, 2026 at 10:30am ET and before Oct 26, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
 Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. 
 Grammatical/tense inflections. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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