Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIMentions

What companies will Trump say in October?

Total Volume

$64.74K

Events

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What companies will Trump say in October?

Vol

$64.74K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $64.74K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

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Volume DistributionTotal: $64.74K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

41 markets tracked

Will Trump say "Uber" before Nov 1, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(41)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump say "Uber" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Tesla / TSLA" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Toyota" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "SpaceX / SPCX" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Nvidia / NVDA" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Micron / MU" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Microsoft / MSFT" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Meta" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Intel / INTC" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "IBM" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Google / GOOG / GOOGL" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Dell" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "CNN" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "AMD" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Amazon / AMZN" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Paramount / PSKY" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	99%
Will Trump say "X / Twitter" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	91%
Will Trump say "General Motors / GM" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	90%
Will Trump say "Apple / AAPL" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	90%
Will Trump say "Chevron / CVX" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	88%
Will Trump say "Honda / HMC" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	72%
Will Trump say "TSMC / TSM" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	70%
Will Trump say "ExxonMobil / XOM" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	68%
Will Trump say "BBC" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	64%
Will Trump say "Anthropic / Claude" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	61%
Will Trump say "TikTok" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	60%
Will Trump say "ChatGPT / OpenAI" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	59%
Will Trump say "Deere" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	38%
Will Trump say "Hyundai / HYMTF" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	38%
Will Trump say "Mastercard / MA" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	34%
Will Trump say "Qualcomm / QCOM" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	34%
Will Trump say "Oracle / ORCL" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	33%
Will Trump say "JPMorgan / JPM" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	32%
Will Trump say "Verizon" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	30%
Will Trump say "Turning Point" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	30%
Will Trump say "BlackRock" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	27%
Will Trump say "DoorDash / DASH" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	26%
Will Trump say "Airbnb / ABNB" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	23%
Will Trump say "Caterpillar" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	21%
Will Trump say "Netflix / NFLX" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	20%
Will Trump say "Rigetti / RGTI" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	16%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$64.74K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

Before Nov 1, 2026 If X or a plural or possessive form Y is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts, Twitter/Truth Social. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, mus

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What companies will Trump say in October?
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Nov 1, 2026

If X or a plural or possessive form Y is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts, Twitter/Truth Social. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, mus

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Verizon, or a plural or possessive form of Verizon, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statement"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $64.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Trump say "Verizon" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $85
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Trump say "Uber" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Trump say "X / Twitter" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $464
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Trump say "TSMC / TSM" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $313
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Trump say "Tesla / TSLA" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Trump say "Turning Point" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $951
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Trump say "Toyota" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $4.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Trump say "TikTok" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $349
  DATA: [Yes: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Trump say "SpaceX / SPCX" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $13.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Trump say "Rigetti / RGTI" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $181
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Trump say "Qualcomm / QCOM" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $62
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Trump say "Paramount / PSKY" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Trump say "Oracle / ORCL" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $119
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Trump say "Nvidia / NVDA" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Trump say "Netflix / NFLX" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $123
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Trump say "Micron / MU" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Trump say "Microsoft / MSFT" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Trump say "Meta" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $4.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Trump say "Mastercard / MA" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $273
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Trump say "JPMorgan / JPM" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $42
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Trump say "Intel / INTC" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Trump say "IBM" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Trump say "Hyundai / HYMTF" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $727
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Trump say "Honda / HMC" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $24
  DATA: [Yes: 71.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Trump say "Google / GOOG / GOOGL" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $374
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Trump say "General Motors / GM" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $411
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Trump say "ExxonMobil / XOM" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $97
  DATA: [Yes: 68.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Trump say "DoorDash / DASH" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $675
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Trump say "Dell" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Trump say "Deere" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $597
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Trump say "Chevron / CVX" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $150
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Trump say "CNN" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Trump say "ChatGPT / OpenAI" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $760
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Trump say "Caterpillar" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $384
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Trump say "BlackRock" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will Trump say "BBC" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $295
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will Trump say "Anthropic / Claude" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 60.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will Trump say "AMD" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will Trump say "Amazon / AMZN" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $3.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will Trump say "Airbnb / ABNB" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $274
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will Trump say "Apple / AAPL" before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $154
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIMentions

What companies will Trump say in October?

Volume$64.74K

Markets41

41 of 41

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Trump say "Uber" before Nov 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Trump say "Uber" before Nov 1, 2026?

If Uber, or a plural or possessive form of Uber, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, dir

KALSHI

Will Trump say "Tesla / TSLA" before Nov 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Trump say "Tesla / TSLA" before Nov 1, 2026?

If Tesla / TSLA, or a plural or possessive form of Tesla / TSLA, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public

KALSHI

Will Trump say "Toyota" before Nov 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Trump say "Toyota" before Nov 1, 2026?

If Toyota, or a plural or possessive form of Toyota, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements,

KALSHI

Will Trump say "SpaceX / SPCX" before Nov 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Trump say "SpaceX / SPCX" before Nov 1, 2026?

If SpaceX / SPCX, or a plural or possessive form of SpaceX / SPCX, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in publ

KALSHI

Will Trump say "Nvidia / NVDA" before Nov 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Trump say "Nvidia / NVDA" before Nov 1, 2026?

If Nvidia / NVDA, or a plural or possessive form of Nvidia / NVDA, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in publ

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What companies will Trump say in October?

What companies will Trump say in October?

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Will Trump say "Uber" before Nov 1, 2026?

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Events (1)

What companies will Trump say in October?

Markets (41)

Will Trump say "Uber" before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Trump say "Uber" before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Trump say "Tesla / TSLA" before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Trump say "Tesla / TSLA" before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Trump say "Toyota" before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Trump say "Toyota" before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Trump say "SpaceX / SPCX" before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Trump say "SpaceX / SPCX" before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Trump say "Nvidia / NVDA" before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Trump say "Nvidia / NVDA" before Nov 1, 2026?

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Will Trump say "Uber" before Nov 1, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

What companies will Trump say in October?

Will Trump say "Uber" before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Trump say "Uber" before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Trump say "Tesla / TSLA" before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Trump say "Tesla / TSLA" before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Trump say "Toyota" before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Trump say "Toyota" before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Trump say "SpaceX / SPCX" before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Trump say "SpaceX / SPCX" before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Trump say "Nvidia / NVDA" before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Trump say "Nvidia / NVDA" before Nov 1, 2026?

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