Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?

Name: Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?
End: 2026-03-18T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.04K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.04K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.04K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?	Poly	62%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

62%

Top Probability

$2.04K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Waller votes in dissent from the FOMC decision on the target federal funds rate at this FOMC meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after i

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, March 2, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 18, 2026 (16 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Waller votes in dissent from the FOMC decision  on the target federal funds rate at this FOMC meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after i

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Waller votes in di"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.7K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.19)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 18, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Next Market Closes

15d 15h remaining

Mar 18, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

62¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/PYKnqM" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket

Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?

Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)