Market snapshot: Oct 14, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Event GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform3 EventsFinancials

How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

Name: How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
End: 2026-11-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$53.54K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

Vol

$53.54K

Events

Markets

Polymarket Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $15.54K

Kalshi

markets · $38.00K

Price Spread

1.0%avg

max 1.0%

Price gaps

of 6 cross-platform

Calculate

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $53.54K

29%

71%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

43 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Related contracts

The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.18% by Oct 30, 2026?"; listed deadline 2026-11-01T05:05:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in October?"; listed deadline 2026-11-01T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Reviewed: Tue, 13 Oct 2026 22:20:04 GMT

Review notes

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 6 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-01T05:05:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-01T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in October?

No data available

Cross-Platform Comparison(6)

Market	Polymarket	Kalshi	Diff
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in October? Related contracts	55%	—	—
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in October? Related contracts	53%	—	—
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in October? Related contracts	44%	—	—
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October? Related contracts	40%	—	—
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October? Related contracts	14%	13%	1%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in October? Related contracts	19%	—	—

Single-Platform Markets(37)

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$53.54K

Volume

Markets

21.9%

Price Gap

About This Event

By Oct 30, 2026 If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below X on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. The first p

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, October 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** By Oct 30, 2026

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below X on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. The first p

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.00% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved
This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.
Resolution is based solel"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $53.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.0K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 27.18)
* **Platform Split:** Polymarket (9 mkts) vs Kalshi (45 mkts)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.00% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.18% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.0% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $571
  DATA: [Yes: 54.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.0% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 9.5% spread between platforms.

### 3. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.15% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $606
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 7.5% spread between platforms.

### 4. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.12% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $492
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $245
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 9.0% spread between platforms.

### 5. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.09% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $739
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $255
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 23.0% spread between platforms.

### 6. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.05% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $361
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $538
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 27.0% spread between platforms.

### 7. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.24% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $6.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.23% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $841
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.22% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.21% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.20% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.19% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $986
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.17% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $123
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.16% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $708
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.14% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $543
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.13% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $892
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.11% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $381
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.10% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $387
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.08% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $578
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.07% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $323
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.06% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $237
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.04% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $181
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.03% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $175
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.02% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $247
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.01% by Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $351
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $758
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $550
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.23% by Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $215
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.22% by Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $581
  DATA: [Yes: 75.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.21% by Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $146
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.20% by Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.19% by Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $466
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.17% by Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $381
  DATA: [Yes: 54.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.16% by Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.14% by Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.13% by Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.11% by Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $790
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.10% by Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $591
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.08% by Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $762
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.07% by Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 42. Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.06% by Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $766
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 43. Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.04% by Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $509
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
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**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Rules & Resolution

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Saved matching review

Related contracts: 11 pairs

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

Review notes

Saved notes may describe earlier contract terms. Use the pair status above and current provider rules.

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 5 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 16, 2026?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-18T05:05:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-01T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

KALSHIFinancials

How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

Volume$22.80K

Markets25

POLYMARKETEconomy

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of October 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of October 2026 by November 13, 11:59 PM ET, this

Volume$15.54K

Markets9

43 of 43

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KALSHI

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.24% by Oct 30, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.24% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.24% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solel

KALSHI

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.23% by Oct 30, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.23% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.23% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solel

KALSHI

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.22% by Oct 30, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.22% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.22% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solel

KALSHI

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.21% by Oct 30, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.21% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.21% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solel

KALSHI

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.20% by Oct 30, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.20% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.20% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solel

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Oct 18, 2026, 5:05 AM UTC

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Price gaps of 2 pp+

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How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?