Snapshot observed 2026-11-06T12:00:06.153Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This event, "Oil Price (WTI) on Nov 9, 2026?", is listed on Kalshi [1]. Each market asks whether the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil on November 9, 2026 will be above a stated threshold in USD per barrel [1]. The reference is the December 2026 contract. The source says settlement follows the nearest listed contract month and rolls forward to the next contract two business days before the current contract's last trading day [1]. The settlement value is rounded to two decimal places, and if no data is published for the specified time, the most recently available published data will be used [1].

The sampled markets differ only by threshold, with titles ranging from "above 83.49 USD/Bbl" to "above 88.99 USD/Bbl" on the same date [1]. Each threshold is a separate yes or no question, so the prices are not interchangeable and should not be averaged.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-11-06T12:00:06.153Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-07T02:00:58.520Z [1]. These are observations from the earlier time, not live quotes. They are not executable quotes, and the evidence does not show trading volume or the number of participants.

Within the included set, the Yes price falls as the threshold rises. The 83.49 market shows Yes at 0.94, and the 88.99 market shows Yes at 0.65 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not verified probabilities.

The event's listed end time is not supplied. Each included market shows an end date of 2026-11-16T20:30:00.000Z [1]. That is a date in the market record, not the November 9 settlement date named in the title and rules [1].

What remains uncertain

Only 12 of 30 markets on this event are included [1]. The sample ranks markets by Yes price, highest first, so the omitted thresholds are not shown. Their prices should not be presumed lower or higher. The sample covers one provider event only.

The evidence does not explain any price movement and contains no news. The saved status is "active" at the observation time. Before comparing this contract with any similar contract on another platform, readers should check each rule text, since settlement details and close times may differ.

References

1. Kalshi: Oil Price (WTI) on Nov 9, 2026?. Provider data observed 2026-11-06T12:00:06.153Z.