Brent crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?
K 36.1K contracts
1
20
Brent crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?
K 36.1K contracts
1
20
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above $92 at 95%.
Kalshi
- Above $9295%
- Above $92.5093%
- Above $9390%
- Above $93.5087.5%
- Above $9482.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 36.1K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
20
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
Nov 9, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for brent crude oil on November 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above X USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-06T12:00:06.153Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers a Kalshi event asking whether the Brent crude oil close price will be above a stated threshold on November 9, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST. The rules state that "If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for brent crude oil on November 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above X USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. The settlement value is rounded to two decimal places, and the 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM is the one whose close is read at 5:00:00 PM [1]. If the specified data is not published, the rules say "the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market" [1].
Each listed contract uses a different threshold, so the rules differ only by the price level X. The excerpt does not supply a listed end time, although the market records show an end date of 2026-11-16T23:00:00.000Z [1]. That timestamp is not the measurement time, and the rules place the price check on November 9.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-11-06T12:00:06Z, and this review retrieved the record at 2026-11-07T02:00:57Z. These are past snapshots, not current quotes, and they are not executable prices.
The sample includes 12 of 20 markets from this one event. Those 12 were chosen by highest Yes price, then volume, so the excluded eight are not shown and should not be assumed to have lower prices. Within the sample, the Yes price falls as the threshold rises: 0.88 for "above 92" and 0.515 for "above 97.50" [1]. The No prices are the complements shown in the record, such as 0.12 and 0.485 at the two ends.
Because all included markets belong to one event with one settlement rule, comparing them is reasonable. The record includes no other platform, so there is no cross-platform comparison here.
What remains uncertain
The record does not explain why prices were at these levels, how many traders took each side, or what happened after the observation time. Volume figures are not included in this summary, and volume would not indicate liquidity or trader count in any case. Prices do not verify the probability of any outcome, and differences between thresholds reflect contract design, not a signal to trade.
References
- Kalshi: Brent crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?. Provider data observed 2026-11-06T12:00:06.153Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 7, 2026 UTCOverview
This Kalshi event asks whether the Brent crude oil close price will be above a set threshold at 5:00 PM EST on November 9, 2026. Under the listed rules, the market resolves to Yes if the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Brent crude oil at that time is above the stated level in USD per barrel [1]. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest two decimal places [1]. The rules define the candlestick timing precisely. A candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading from 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM, so the close price used is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval [1]. The rules also state that if the specified source agency publishes no data for the specified time, the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market [1]. The event contains separate binary markets at different thresholds. In the saved sample, the strike levels range from 92 to 97.50 USD/Bbl, and each market asks whether the close will be above its own level [1]. Each contract is independent, so the set of contracts describes a range of outcomes rather than a single forecast.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether Brent crude oil's close price at a specific minute on a specific date exceeds a chosen threshold [1]. Because it is tied to one defined candlestick close, the contract isolates a single moment in the market rather than a daily average or a range over time [1]. Traders and readers can use the threshold ladder to see how the listed prices change across strike levels, but the saved prices are snapshots and not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Volume and trader counts are not part of the supplied evidence and should not be read as liquidity.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-06 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What price determines whether the Brent contract resolves Yes?
The market resolves to Yes if the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Brent crude oil at 5:00 PM EST on November 9, 2026 is above the stated threshold in USD per barrel [1]. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest two decimal places [1].
Which minute's trading is used for the close price?
The close price is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the 4:59 PM candlestick reflects trading from 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM [1].
What happens if the source does not publish data at the specified time?
If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market [1].
Are the prices in this event probabilities?
The prices are snapshots from the saved provider data and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The sample includes only 12 of 20 markets in this event, so it does not show every threshold [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
