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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner

Name: Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner
End: 2026-05-24T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$19.21K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner

Vol

$19.21K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $19.21K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $19.21K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will DIPA win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will DIPA win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Poly	65%
Will AKEL win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Poly	35%
Will ELAM win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Poly	2%
Will EDEK win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Poly	0%
Will KOSP win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Poly	0%
Will VOLT win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Poly	0%
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Poly	0%
Will DIKO win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Poly	0%
Will DNM (DEK) win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

65%

Top Probability

$19.21K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives. If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, October 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 24, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.

If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.

If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $19.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $95.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.20)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will AKEL win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 24, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will ELAM win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 24, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 24, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will DIKO win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 24, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will DIPA win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 24, 2026): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will EDEK win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 24, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will KOSP win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 24, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will VOLT win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 24, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will DNM (DEK) win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 24, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics