Name: Dota 2: L1ga Team vs AVULUS (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
End: 2026-01-28T17:00:00.000Z

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Dota 2: L1ga Team vs AVULUS (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?	Poly	100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?	Poly	100%
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dota 2: L1ga Team vs AVULUS (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 28, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Dota 2 match between L1ga Team and AVULUS in the PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for January 28 at 6:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "L1ga Team" if L1ga Team win the match against AVULUS.

This market will resolve to "AVULUS" if AVULUS win the match against L1ga Team.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will reso

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming match between L1ga Team and AVULUS in the PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for January 28 at 6:00AM ET:

This market is about the total kills in Game 2.

This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 2 is 50 or more. Otherwise, it wil"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $79
* **Total Liquidity:** $7.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $47
  DATA: [Over: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [Under: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Over: 99.8% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.3% (0.0%)]

### 3. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Over: 99.8% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

67¢

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Dota 2: L1ga Team vs AVULUS (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs AVULUS (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Markets (3)

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs AVULUS (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?

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