Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Aarhus vs Soenderjyske: Spread

Total Volume

$3.00

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Markets

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Aarhus vs Soenderjyske: Spread

Vol

$3.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $3.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Aarhus wins by more than 1.5 goals?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Aarhus wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	38%
Aarhus wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	21%
Soenderjyske wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	7%
Soenderjyske wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

38%

Top Probability

$3.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

AGF vs SON (Oct 12) If Soenderjyske wins by more than X goals in the Aarhus vs Soenderjyske professional Danish Superliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This m

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Aarhus vs Soenderjyske: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** AGF vs SON (Oct 12)

If Soenderjyske wins by more than X goals in the Aarhus vs Soenderjyske professional Danish Superliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This m

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Soenderjyske wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Aarhus vs Soenderjyske professional Danish Superliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not af"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Soenderjyske wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Soenderjyske wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Aarhus wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Aarhus wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $3
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Aarhus vs Soenderjyske: Spread

Volume$3.00

Markets4

4 of 4

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KALSHI

Aarhus wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 38.0¢No 62.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Aarhus wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Aarhus wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Aarhus vs Soenderjyske professional Danish Superliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliat

KALSHI

Aarhus wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Aarhus wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Aarhus wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Aarhus vs Soenderjyske professional Danish Superliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliat

KALSHI

Soenderjyske wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Soenderjyske wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Soenderjyske wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Aarhus vs Soenderjyske professional Danish Superliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not af

KALSHI

Soenderjyske wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Soenderjyske wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Soenderjyske wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Aarhus vs Soenderjyske professional Danish Superliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not af

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Average Yes Price

17¢

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Aarhus vs Soenderjyske: Spread

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Aarhus wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Aarhus vs Soenderjyske: Spread

Markets (4)

Aarhus wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Aarhus wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Aarhus wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Aarhus wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Soenderjyske wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Soenderjyske wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Soenderjyske wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Soenderjyske wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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Aarhus wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Aarhus vs Soenderjyske: Spread

Aarhus wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Aarhus wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Aarhus wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Aarhus wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Soenderjyske wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Soenderjyske wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Soenderjyske wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Soenderjyske wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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