Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Oct 12 at ___?

Name: Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Oct 12 at ___?
End: 2026-10-16T20:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$0.00

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Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Oct 12 at ___?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$240 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$240 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Poly	47%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $260-$265 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Poly	25%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $255-$260 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Poly	23%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $265-$270 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Poly	20%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $270-$275 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Poly	12%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Poly	10%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at >$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Poly	10%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $240-$245 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Poly	8%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $275-$280 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Poly	7%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $280-$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Poly	7%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $245-$250 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Poly	7%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

47%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final mi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Oct 12 at ___?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 16, 2026 (5 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final mi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Closing prices wi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$240 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $240-$245 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $245-$250 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $255-$260 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $260-$265 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $265-$270 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $270-$275 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $275-$280 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $280-$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Amazon (AMZN) close at >$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance