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GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Event GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform2 EventsEntertainment

Most popular baby girl name in 2025?

Name: Most popular baby girl name in 2025?
End: 2025-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$336.17K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

Most popular baby girl name in 2025?

Vol

$336.17K

Events

Markets

Polymarket Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $336.17K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

1.1%avg

max 1.9%

Arbitrage

of 10 cross-platform

Calculate

Volume DistributionTotal: $336.17K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

No data available

Cross-Platform Comparison(10)

Market	Polymarket	Kalshi	Diff
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	92%	92%	0%
Will Amelia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	4%	6%	2%
Will Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	3%	4%	1%
Will Mia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	3%	4%	1%
Will Sophia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	2%	2%	0%
Will Sofia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	1%	2%	1%
Will Isabella rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	1%	2%	1%
Will Ava rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	1%	2%	2%
Will Evelyn rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	0%	2%	2%
Will Charlotte rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	0%	2%	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

92%

Top Probability

$336.17K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Dec 2026 If X is the #1 most popular baby girl name on the Social Security Administration’s list of most popular U.S. baby names in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will be based on the official list of the most popular baby names in the United States, as published by the Social Security Administration. The SSA usually releases this list in May of the following year. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, August 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Most popular baby girl name in 2025?
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Dec 2026

If X is the #1 most popular baby girl name on the Social Security Administration’s list of most popular U.S. baby names in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will be based on the official list of the most popular baby names in the United States, as published by the Social Security Administration. The SSA usually releases this list in May of the following year. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.

The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” too"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $336.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $17.4K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 19.35)
* **Platform Split:** Polymarket (10 mkts) vs Kalshi (10 mkts)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $209.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 91.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.2% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $12.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Amelia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $21.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 1.7% spread between platforms.

### 4. Will Charlotte rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $12.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 1.9% spread between platforms.

### 5. Will Mia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $17.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Sophia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $13.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Isabella rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $13.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 1.4% spread between platforms.

### 8. Will Evelyn rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $12.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 1.8% spread between platforms.

### 9. Will Ava rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $12.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 1.5% spread between platforms.

### 10. Will Sofia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $12.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

Rules & Resolution

Differs

Rules

Different

Timing

Similar

KALSHIEntertainment

Most popular baby girl name in 2025?

Volume$0.00

Markets10

POLYMARKETCulture

Most popular girl name 2025

This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is

Volume$336.17K

Markets10

10 of 10

Sort:

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average91.7%

Polymarket+0.3%

91.8%

Kalshi

91.5%

Difference:0.3%

Polymarket higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 91.8¢No 8.2¢

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

POLYMARKETCulture

Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Olivia be the #1 most popular baby girl name in 2025?

If Olivia is the #1 most popular baby girl name on the Social Security Administration’s list of most popular U.S. baby names in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on the official list of the most popular baby names in the United States, as published by t

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Amelia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average4.7%

Polymarket

3.8%

Kalshi+1.7%

5.5%

Difference:1.7%

Kalshi higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 3.8¢No 96.2¢

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

POLYMARKETCulture

Will Amelia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Amelia be the #1 most popular baby girl name in 2025?

If Amelia is the #1 most popular baby girl name on the Social Security Administration’s list of most popular U.S. baby names in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on the official list of the most popular baby names in the United States, as published by t

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average3.1%

Polymarket

2.8%

Kalshi+0.8%

3.5%

Difference:0.8%

Kalshi higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 2.8¢No 97.3¢

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

POLYMARKETCulture

Will Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Emma be the #1 most popular baby girl name in 2025?

If Emma is the #1 most popular baby girl name on the Social Security Administration’s list of most popular U.S. baby names in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on the official list of the most popular baby names in the United States, as published by the

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Mia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average3.1%

Polymarket

2.7%

Kalshi+0.8%

3.5%

Difference:0.8%

Kalshi higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 2.7¢No 97.3¢

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

POLYMARKETCulture

Will Mia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Mia be the #1 most popular baby girl name in 2025?

If Mia is the #1 most popular baby girl name on the Social Security Administration’s list of most popular U.S. baby names in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on the official list of the most popular baby names in the United States, as published by the

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Sophia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average2.2%

Polymarket+0.5%

2.5%

Kalshi

2.0%

Difference:0.5%

Polymarket higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢

KKalshi

Yes 2.0¢No 98.0¢

POLYMARKETCulture

Will Sophia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Sophia be the #1 most popular baby girl name in 2025?

If Sophia is the #1 most popular baby girl name on the Social Security Administration’s list of most popular U.S. baby names in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on the official list of the most popular baby names in the United States, as published by t

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

11¢

Polymarket

12¢

Kalshi

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Most popular baby girl name in 2025?

Most popular baby girl name in 2025?

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Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Rules & Resolution

Events (2)

Most popular baby girl name in 2025?

Most popular girl name 2025

Markets (10)

Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Olivia be the #1 most popular baby girl name in 2025?

Will Amelia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Amelia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Amelia be the #1 most popular baby girl name in 2025?

Will Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Emma be the #1 most popular baby girl name in 2025?

Will Mia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Mia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Mia be the #1 most popular baby girl name in 2025?

Will Sophia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Sophia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Sophia be the #1 most popular baby girl name in 2025?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Rules & Resolution

Most popular baby girl name in 2025?

Most popular girl name 2025

Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Olivia be the #1 most popular baby girl name in 2025?

Will Amelia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Amelia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Amelia be the #1 most popular baby girl name in 2025?

Will Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Emma be the #1 most popular baby girl name in 2025?

Will Mia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Mia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Mia be the #1 most popular baby girl name in 2025?

Will Sophia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Sophia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Sophia be the #1 most popular baby girl name in 2025?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Platform Breakdown

Event Comparison

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