
$7.94K
1
12

$7.94K
1
12
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team selects a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction markets currently assign an 89% probability that the Las Vegas Raiders will select a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft. This price, trading at 89¢ on Polymarket, indicates the market views this outcome as highly likely. With approximately 97 days until the draft, this reflects strong consensus, though the thin trading volume of roughly $8,000 across related markets means this price could be more sensitive to new information.
Two primary factors are solidifying this market position. First, the Raiders' persistent quarterback instability makes a high-investment solution logical. The team has cyclated through veterans like Jimmy Garoppolo and Aidan O'Connell without securing a long-term franchise player. Second, the 2026 draft class is projected to be exceptionally strong at quarterback, featuring top prospects like Bellevue High School's Dereon "Mane" Coleman. With the Raiders unlikely to be immediate Super Bowl contenders by 2026, positioning themselves to draft a blue-chip quarterback is a rational team-building strategy the market is anticipating.
The primary catalyst that could lower these odds is unexpected competitive success in the 2025 NFL season. If quarterback Gardner Minshew or a different player performs at a Pro Bowl level, the team's immediate need would diminish. Conversely, a catastrophic season could lock the Raiders into a top draft position, potentially raising the "Yes" probability even further. Key dates to watch are the 2025 NFL season results and the 2026 NFL Scouting Combine, where quarterback evaluations will solidify. A surprise veteran acquisition or trade before the draft would also challenge the current market consensus.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
Share your predictions and analysis with other traders. Coming soon!
12 markets tracked

No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
![]() | Poly | 89% |
![]() | Poly | 65% |
![]() | Poly | 55% |
![]() | Poly | 51% |
![]() | Poly | 51% |
![]() | Poly | 50% |
![]() | Poly | 50% |
![]() | Poly | 50% |
![]() | Poly | 50% |
![]() | Poly | 50% |
![]() | Poly | 50% |
![]() | Poly | 6% |





No related news found
Add this market to your website
<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/PkvVS0" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Which teams will draft a QB in the 1st round of the 2026 NFL draft?"></iframe>