Market snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Event GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform3 EventsSports

Leverkusen vs Freiburg: Spread

Reported volume

PM $205.8K · K 421.6K contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

Leverkusen vs Freiburg: Spread

Vol

PM $205.8K · K 421.6K contracts

Events

Markets

Polymarket Kalshi

Provider overview

polymarket

$205.8K

Reported lifetime volume

kalshi

421.6K contracts

Reported lifetime volume

Reviewed equivalent pairs

No eligible price comparison

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Price ChartContract price history

5 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Leverkusen wins by more than 2.5 goals?

No data available

Include related or unreviewed contracts

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with usable prices. You can inspect related contracts, but their prices do not measure the same outcome.

Market	Polymarket	Kalshi	Diff

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Rules & Resolution

Differs

Saved matching review

Related contracts: 5 pairs

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

Review notes

Saved notes may describe earlier contract terms. Use the pair status above and current provider rules.

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 3 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Leverkusen vs Freiburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-20T13:30:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Leverkusen vs Freiburg: Spread". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-20T13:30:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $205.8K · K 421.6K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

LEV vs SCF (Oct 18) If Freiburg wins by more than X goals in the Leverkusen vs Freiburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Leverkusen vs Freiburg: Spread
Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $205.8K · K 421.6K contracts
Coverage: 10 of 10 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Tie is the result
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBUNDESLIGAGAME-26OCT18LEVSCF-TIE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbundesligagame-26oct18levscf
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 74.9K contracts
Outcome Yes: 44.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 55.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tie is the result of the Leverkusen vs Freiburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Leverkusen vs Freiburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5311879; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/bun-b04-fre-2026-10-18-draw
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 18, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: $12.3K
Outcome Yes: 38.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 61.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 18, 2026
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 h

Contract: Leverkusen wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBUNDESLIGAGAME-26OCT18LEVSCF-LEV; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbundesligagame-26oct18levscf
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 198.2K contracts
Outcome Yes: 37.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 62.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Leverkusen wins the Leverkusen vs Freiburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Leverkusen vs Freiburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-18?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5311876; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/bun-b04-fre-2026-10-18-b04
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 18, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: $123.4K
Outcome Yes: 42.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 57.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 18, 2026
If Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hour

Contract: Leverkusen wins by more than 1.5 goals?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBUNDESLIGASPREAD-26OCT18LEVSCF-LEV2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbundesligaspread-26oct18levscf
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 22.9K contracts
Outcome Yes: 10.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 89.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Leverkusen wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Leverkusen vs Freiburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Freiburg wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBUNDESLIGAGAME-26OCT18LEVSCF-SCF; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbundesligagame-26oct18levscf
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 113.2K contracts
Outcome Yes: 17.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 82.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Freiburg wins the Leverkusen vs Freiburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Leverkusen vs Freiburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-18?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5311882; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/bun-b04-fre-2026-10-18-fre
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 18, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: $70.1K
Outcome Yes: 19.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 80.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 18, 2026
If SC Freiburg wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the

Contract: Freiburg wins by more than 1.5 goals?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBUNDESLIGASPREAD-26OCT18LEVSCF-SCF2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbundesligaspread-26oct18levscf
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 8.6K contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Freiburg wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Leverkusen vs Freiburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Freiburg wins by more than 2.5 goals?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBUNDESLIGASPREAD-26OCT18LEVSCF-SCF3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbundesligaspread-26oct18levscf
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 2.3K contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Freiburg wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Leverkusen vs Freiburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Leverkusen wins by more than 2.5 goals?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBUNDESLIGASPREAD-26OCT18LEVSCF-LEV3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbundesligaspread-26oct18levscf
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.6K contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Leverkusen wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Leverkusen vs Freiburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Saved cross-platform review:
polymarket-5311876 / kalshi-KXBUNDESLIGASPREAD-26OCT18LEVSCF-LEV2: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Leverkusen wins by more than 1.5 goals?"; listed deadline 2026-10-20T13:30:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-18?"; listed deadline 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 18, 2026, 12:19 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Leverkusen vs Freiburg: Spread". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-20T13:30:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-5311882 / kalshi-KXBUNDESLIGASPREAD-26OCT18LEVSCF-SCF2: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Freiburg wins by more than 1.5 goals?"; listed deadline 2026-10-20T13:30:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-18?"; listed deadline 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 18, 2026, 12:19 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Leverkusen vs Freiburg: Spread". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-20T13:30:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-5311879 / kalshi-KXBUNDESLIGAGAME-26OCT18LEVSCF-TIE: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Tie is the result"; listed deadline 2026-10-20T13:30:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?"; listed deadline 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 17, 2026, 3:34 PM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 3 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Leverkusen vs Freiburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-20T13:30:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-5311876 / kalshi-KXBUNDESLIGAGAME-26OCT18LEVSCF-LEV: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Leverkusen wins"; listed deadline 2026-10-20T13:30:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-18?"; listed deadline 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 17, 2026, 3:34 PM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 3 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Leverkusen vs Freiburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-20T13:30:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-5311882 / kalshi-KXBUNDESLIGAGAME-26OCT18LEVSCF-SCF: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Freiburg wins"; listed deadline 2026-10-20T13:30:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-18?"; listed deadline 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 17, 2026, 3:34 PM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 3 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Leverkusen vs Freiburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-20T13:30:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Leverkusen vs Freiburg

LEV vs SCF (Oct 18) If X wins the Leverkusen vs Freiburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Leverkusen vs Freiburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Volume$386.26K

Markets3

POLYMARKETSports

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg

This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, October 18, 2026 between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and SC Freiburg.

Volume$205.81K

Markets3

5 of 5

Sort:

Tie is the result

Related contracts

The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Tie is the result"; listed deadline 2026-10-20T13:30:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?"; listed deadline 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Reviewed: Sat, 17 Oct 2026 15:34:47 GMT

Review notes

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

kalshi

Tie is the result

Yes: 44.5¢
No: 55.5¢

polymarket

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?

Yes: 38.5¢
No: 61.5¢

Leverkusen wins

kalshi

Leverkusen wins

Yes: 37.5¢
No: 62.5¢

polymarket

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-18?

Yes: 42.5¢
No: 57.5¢

kalshi

Leverkusen wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Yes: 10.5¢
No: 89.5¢

Freiburg wins

kalshi

Freiburg wins

Yes: 17.5¢
No: 82.5¢

polymarket

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-18?

Yes: 19.5¢
No: 80.5¢

kalshi

Freiburg wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Yes: 3.5¢
No: 96.5¢

Leverkusen wins by more than 2.5 goals?

kalshi

Leverkusen wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Yes: 2.5¢
No: 97.5¢

Freiburg wins by more than 2.5 goals?

kalshi

Freiburg wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Yes: 0.5¢
No: 99.5¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiSports

Will FC Schalke 04 finish 15th in the 2026-27 Bundesliga?

Kalshi: Will Schalke be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Related contracts

PM Yes 50%Rules differK Yes 53%

Will 1. FC Köln finish 15th in the 2026-27 Bundesliga?

Kalshi: Will FC Cologne be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Related contracts

PM Yes 50%Rules differK Yes 52%

Will Union Berlin finish 15th in the 2026-27 Bundesliga?

Kalshi: Will Union Berlin be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Related contracts

PM Yes 50%Rules differK Yes 52%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

18 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiSports

Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers

PM $10.7K · K 99.24 contracts

Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?

Kalshi: Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 4 in the Bundesliga season?

Related contracts

PM Yes 98.2%Rules differK Yes 68%

Will Borussia Dortmund finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?

Kalshi: Will Dortmund finish in the top 4 in the Bundesliga season?

Related contracts

PM Yes 85%Rules differK Yes 50%

Will Bayer Leverkusen finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?

Kalshi: Will Leverkusen finish in the top 4 in the Bundesliga season?

Related contracts

PM Yes 80.5%Rules differK Yes 50.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

18 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jun 6, 2027 UTC

KalshiSports

Leverkusen vs Freiburg: Second Half Winner

K 104.84 contracts

Leverkusen wins 2nd HalfYes 48%

Tie 2nd HalfYes 45%

Freiburg wins 2nd HalfYes 43%

3 mktsNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Next Market Deadline

Calculating time remaining…

Oct 20, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Reviewed equivalent pairs

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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Leverkusen vs Freiburg: Spread

Leverkusen vs Freiburg: Spread