$11.98K
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$11.98K
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4
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This market will resolve according to the stage of elimination for the San Francisco 49ers in the 2025–26 NFL Playoffs. The market will immediately resolve once the San Francisco 49ers’ stage of elimination can be confirmed. If the San Francisco 49ers’ stage of elimination has not been confirmed by February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market topic concerns the playoff performance of the San Francisco 49ers during the 2025-2026 NFL season. Specifically, it tracks the stage at which the team is eliminated from the NFL Playoffs, with outcomes ranging from missing the postseason entirely to losing in the Wild Card round, Divisional round, NFC Championship Game, or Super Bowl. The market resolves based on official NFL information and will close by February 22, 2026. The 49ers have been one of the NFL's most consistently competitive teams in recent years, making deep playoff runs a regular expectation. This market allows participants to speculate on whether the team's championship window remains open or if it will close due to factors like roster changes, coaching, or heightened competition. Interest stems from the team's high-profile status, large fanbase, and recent history of near-misses in pursuit of a sixth Lombardi Trophy, making their annual playoff journey a focal point for analysts and fans alike.
The San Francisco 49ers possess a storied playoff history, having won five Super Bowls (XVI, XIX, XXIII, XXIV, XXIX) during the dynasty eras of the 1980s and 1990s. However, the franchise has not won a championship since the 1994 season, creating a three-decade drought that fuels intense scrutiny of their playoff outcomes. Under the current regime of Kyle Shanahan and John Lynch, the team has re-established itself as a perennial contender. Since the 2019 season, the 49ers have reached the NFC Championship Game four times and the Super Bowl twice, following the 2019 and 2022 seasons. This pattern of deep runs without ultimate victory creates a specific historical context for this market, framing each playoff journey as an attempt to finally overcome the final hurdle. Past elimination stages, such as the heartbreaking Super Bowl LIV loss to Kansas City or the NFC Championship Game defeat to the Los Angeles Rams in the 2021 season, inform expectations about the team's resilience and ability to handle pressure in single-elimination games.
The playoff outcome for a franchise like the 49ers has significant economic implications. A deep run generates millions in additional revenue for the organization from ticket sales, merchandise, and heightened national media exposure. It also impacts the local economy of the San Francisco Bay Area through increased business for hotels, restaurants, and bars on game days. Beyond economics, the result carries substantial cultural weight for one of the NFL's most global and passionate fanbases. Another season ending without a championship could lead to intensified scrutiny of the coaching staff and roster construction, potentially triggering major organizational changes. Conversely, a Super Bowl victory would cement the legacy of the current core players and coaches, reshape the narrative around the franchise, and have lasting effects on player legacies, coaching reputations, and the team's historical standing.
As of the creation of this market for the 2025-2026 season, the 49ers are in their 2025 offseason. The team is coming off a 2024 campaign where they again reached the Super Bowl, falling to the Kansas City Chiefs. The primary focus is on managing the salary cap, making decisions on pending free agents, and preparing for the 2025 NFL Draft. The core of the roster, including Purdy, McCaffrey, Bosa, and tight end George Kittle, is expected to return, positioning the team as one of the preseason favorites in the NFC. The latest developments involve contract negotiations and strategic planning to maintain a championship-caliber team amid financial constraints.
The 49ers can be eliminated by failing to qualify for the playoffs (miss postseason), or by losing in the Wild Card round, Divisional round, NFC Championship Game, or the Super Bowl. Winning the Super Bowl means they are not eliminated and the market would resolve to that outcome.
The NFL playoffs for the 2025-2026 season are scheduled to begin in January 2026, following the conclusion of the 18-week regular season. The exact dates are set by the NFL league office and are typically announced in the preceding spring.
The NFL playoffs feature 14 teams: seven from the AFC and seven from the NFC. Each conference has four division winners and three wild-card teams. The top seed in each conference receives a first-round bye. The tournament is single-elimination, culminating in the Super Bowl.
If the San Francisco 49ers fail to qualify for the postseason, the market will resolve to 'Missed Postseason' as their stage of elimination. This outcome is determined once they are mathematically eliminated from playoff contention or at the end of the regular season.
The 'Other' outcome is a catch-all resolution if the 49ers' stage of elimination cannot be confirmed by the market's expiration date of February 22, 2026. This is a safeguard for highly unusual circumstances, such as a cancelled playoff game or an unresolved contest.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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| Market | Platform | Price |
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| Poly | 75% |
| Poly | 16% |
| Poly | 6% |
| Poly | 4% |
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