Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

TSA passenger screenings on Oct 12, 2026

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$0.00

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TSA passenger screenings on Oct 12, 2026

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15 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

At least 2,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
At least 2,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?	Kalshi	91%
At least 2,600,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?	Kalshi	90%
At least 2,500,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?	Kalshi	90%
At least 2,400,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?	Kalshi	90%
At least 2,300,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?	Kalshi	90%
At least 2,200,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?	Kalshi	90%
At least 2,100,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?	Kalshi	90%
At least 1,900,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?	Kalshi	90%
At least 1,800,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?	Kalshi	90%
At least 2,700,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?	Kalshi	90%
At least 2,800,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?	Kalshi	40%
At least 2,900,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?	Kalshi	13%
At least 3,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?	Kalshi	11%
At least 3,200,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?	Kalshi	10%
At least 3,100,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?	Kalshi	10%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

91%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

October 12, 2026 If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026 is at least X passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the nationwide checkpoint travel number reported on TSA’s Passenger Volumes page for the specified date, regardless of when it is published. The exact count is used without rounding. Only the first published value is used; later corrections and revisions are ignored. If publication is delayed, resolution waits for

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** TSA passenger screenings on Oct 12, 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** October 12, 2026

If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026 is at least X passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the nationwide checkpoint travel number reported on TSA’s Passenger Volumes page for the specified date, regardless of when it is published. The exact count is used without rounding. Only the first published value is used; later corrections and revisions are ignored. If publication is delayed, resolution waits for 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026 is at least 3,200,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the nationwide checkpoint travel number reported on TSA’s Passenger Volumes page for the specified date, rega"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. At least 3,200,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. At least 3,100,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. At least 3,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. At least 2,900,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. At least 2,800,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. At least 2,700,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. At least 2,600,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. At least 2,500,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. At least 2,400,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. At least 2,300,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. At least 2,200,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. At least 2,100,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. At least 2,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. At least 1,900,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. At least 1,800,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

TSA passenger screenings on Oct 12, 2026

Volume$0.00

Markets15

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KALSHI

At least 2,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.0¢No 9.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

At least 2,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026 is at least 2,000,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the nationwide checkpoint travel number reported on TSA’s Passenger Volumes page for the specified date, rega

KALSHI

At least 2,600,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.0¢No 10.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

At least 2,600,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026 is at least 2,600,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the nationwide checkpoint travel number reported on TSA’s Passenger Volumes page for the specified date, rega

KALSHI

At least 2,500,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.0¢No 10.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

At least 2,500,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026 is at least 2,500,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the nationwide checkpoint travel number reported on TSA’s Passenger Volumes page for the specified date, rega

KALSHI

At least 2,400,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.0¢No 10.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

At least 2,400,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026 is at least 2,400,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the nationwide checkpoint travel number reported on TSA’s Passenger Volumes page for the specified date, rega

KALSHI

At least 2,300,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.0¢No 10.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

At least 2,300,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026 is at least 2,300,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the nationwide checkpoint travel number reported on TSA’s Passenger Volumes page for the specified date, rega

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Px4Qbc" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="TSA passenger screenings on Oct 12, 2026"></iframe>

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TSA passenger screenings on Oct 12, 2026

TSA passenger screenings on Oct 12, 2026

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At least 2,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

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Events (1)

TSA passenger screenings on Oct 12, 2026

Markets (15)

At least 2,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

At least 2,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

At least 2,600,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

At least 2,600,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

At least 2,500,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

At least 2,500,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

At least 2,400,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

At least 2,400,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

At least 2,300,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

At least 2,300,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

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At least 2,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

TSA passenger screenings on Oct 12, 2026

At least 2,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

At least 2,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

At least 2,600,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

At least 2,600,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

At least 2,500,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

At least 2,500,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

At least 2,400,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

At least 2,400,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

At least 2,300,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

At least 2,300,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 12, 2026?

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