Bitcoin price on April 16? | PredictPedia

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

Bitcoin price on April 16?

Name: Bitcoin price on April 16?
End: 2026-04-16T16:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$195.48K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Bitcoin price on April 16?

Vol

$195.48K

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $195.48K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $195.48K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 16?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 16?	Poly	55%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 16?	Poly	25%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 16?	Poly	16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 16?	Poly	2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 16?	Poly	2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 16?	Poly	0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 16?	Poly	0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 16?	Poly	0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on April 16?	Poly	0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 16?	Poly	0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $82,000 on April 16?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

55%

Top Probability

$195.48K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bitcoin price on April 16?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 16, 2026 (1 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Clo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $195.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $272.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.72)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on April 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 16, 2026): Vol $24.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 16, 2026): Vol $40.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 16, 2026): Vol $32.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 16, 2026): Vol $12.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 16, 2026): Vol $11.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 16, 2026): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 16, 2026): Vol $16.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 16, 2026): Vol $7.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 16, 2026): Vol $12.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 16, 2026): Vol $12.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $82,000 on April 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 16, 2026): Vol $20.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

9h 5mremaining

Apr 16, 2026 4:00 PM

Ending Soon

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

9¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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Bitcoin price on April 16?

Bitcoin price on April 16?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 16?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 16?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)