Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?

Name: Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?
End: 2028-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$32.00K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?

Vol

$32.00K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $32.00K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $32.00K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

29 markets tracked

Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(29)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Poly	40%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027?	Poly	23%
Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?	Poly	13%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the United States by December 31, 2027?	Poly	10%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Qatar by December 31, 2027?	Poly	5%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2027?	Poly	4%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in India by December 31, 2027?	Poly	2%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Russia by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Vatican City by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Italy by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Finland by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Belarus by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Poland by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in another country by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Hungary by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in China by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Ukraine by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Germany by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Austria by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Slovakia by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Kazakhstan by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Serbia by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Azerbaijan by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Egypt by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Brazil by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in South Africa by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in another European country by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in another Middle East/North Africa country by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2027?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

40%

Top Probability

$32.00K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict begins by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Uk

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2028 (447 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict begins by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Uk

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict begins by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

A diplomatic me"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $32.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $289.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.11)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $598
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Hungary by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $288
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the United States by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in China by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $539
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Russia by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $325
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Ukraine by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $354
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Germany by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $369
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $435
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $12.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Qatar by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $617
  DATA: [Yes: 4.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.1% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Vatican City by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $523
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Italy by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $362
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Austria by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $235
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Slovakia by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $290
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Finland by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $303
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Belarus by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $377
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Kazakhstan by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $185
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in India by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $596
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Poland by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $302
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Serbia by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $158
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Azerbaijan by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $215
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Egypt by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $166
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Brazil by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $216
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in South Africa by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $166
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in another European country by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $502
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in another Middle East/North Africa country by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $317
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in another country by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $581
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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