GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

NCAA Football: Class of Heisman Winner

Name: NCAA Football: Class of Heisman Winner
End: 2026-08-04T16:04:02.698Z

Total Volume

$647.47

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

NCAA Football: Class of Heisman Winner

Vol

$647.47

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $647.47

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $647.47

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will a Junior win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will a Junior win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Poly	40%
Will a Sophomore win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Poly	32%
Will a Senior or Graduate win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Poly	18%
Will a Freshman win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Poly	13%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

40%

Top Probability

$647.47

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market resolves according to the academic class of the player who wins the 2026 Heisman Trophy, as officially listed for the 2026 college football season. The outcome corresponding to the winner's class will resolve "Yes"; all other outcomes will resolve "No". The winner's "class" is the eligibility class officially designated for that player for the 2026 season by their school and/or the official Heisman/NCAA records at the time the award is presented. Where a player's class is listed w

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NCAA Football: Class of Heisman Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Aug 4, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market resolves according to the academic class of the player who wins the 2026 Heisman Trophy, as officially listed for the 2026 college football season. 

The outcome corresponding to the winner's class will resolve "Yes"; all other outcomes will resolve "No".

The winner's "class" is the eligibility class officially designated for that player for the 2026 season by their school and/or the official Heisman/NCAA records at the time the award is presented. Where a player's class is listed w

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market resolves according to the academic class of the player who wins the 2026 Heisman Trophy, as officially listed for the 2026 college football season. 

The outcome corresponding to the winner's class will resolve "Yes"; all other outcomes will resolve "No".

The winner's "class" is the eli"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $647
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.23)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will a Freshman win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $224
  DATA: [Yes: 13.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will a Sophomore win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $82
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will a Junior win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $199
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will a Senior or Graduate win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $142
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports