Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

Each market in this event asks whether one listed team will play in the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game. The market resolves "Yes" if the listed team plays in that game and "No" otherwise [1]. The game is described as scheduled for January 2027, and a team counts only if it is one of the two teams competing in it [1]. If the game is canceled or not played by February 8, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves "No" [1]. The primary resolution source is official College Football Playoff information, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-19T06:00:06Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-19T07:18:59Z [1]. These are snapshot values, not live or executable quotes. Among the 12 included markets, Ohio St. is priced at 0.34 Yes, Georgia at 0.285, Notre Dame at 0.265, Miami (FL) at 0.26, and Indiana at 0.205 [1]. Each contract is a separate question, so these prices should not be summed or averaged across teams.

Only the Alabama, Ole Miss, BYU, and Utah contracts list an end date of 2027-02-09T04:59:00.000Z. The other included contracts show no end date in the record [1]. That timestamp matches the February 8, 2027 11:59 PM ET cutoff in the rules, but the record does not explain how the other contracts close. Compare wording and listed close times contract by contract before relying on any single price.

What remains uncertain

This is a partial sample. Twelve of 50 markets from one provider event were included, so this is not the full field [1]. The record does not explain why prices are where they are, and it contains no trader counts or liquidity measure. Volume data is not included in this view, and prices are not verified probabilities. Differences between contracts on different teams do not by themselves indicate an arbitrage opportunity.

References

1. Polymarket: NCAA Football: Team to Make National Championship. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.